FinerForecasts - Biologically Driven Soft-Fruit Resource Optimisation, Labour & Yield Forecasts at Plant Granularity.

FinerForecasts - 生物驱动的软果资源优化、劳动力

• 批准号: 10072185
• 金额: $ 77.9万
• 依托单位: FRUITCAST LIMITED
• 依托单位国家: 英国
• 项目类别: Collaborative R&D
• 财政年份: 2023
• 资助国家: 英国
• 起止时间: 2023 至 无数据
• 项目状态: 未结题
• 来源: https://gtr.ukri.org/projects?ref=10072185
• 关键词: FinerForecasts; Biologically; Driven; Soft; Fruit

FinerForecasts is a collaborative project led by FruitCast, partnered with the University of Lincoln and Chambers, a soft fruit grower in Kent, UK. The project will improve the accuracy of soft fruit crop forecasting using observation-based systems. Crop forecasting is essential for fresh produce business operations as it enables farmers to match supply and demand, set forward prices, reduce waste, plan labour, and optimise resources. Existing forecast tools range from grower intuition to models powered by machine learning, and are notoriously unreliable, leading to loss of income. FinerForecasts will develop a plant mapping system, enabling plant-level forecasting, which incorporates variability between plants, improves the overall forecast accuracy, and enables growers to optimise resources and address problem spots before yield is impacted. This extends FruitCast's current observational-based forecasting approach involves taking videos of crops and locating fruit and flowers within them to predict the age, weight, and harvest date. The project aims to achieve three objectives: (i) provide reliable yield forecasts within 15% error 3 weeks ahead for entire grower sites from a biologically regulated yield forecasting model, (ii) generate plant-level, agronomically relevant maps of forecasted yield and its variability for optimisation strategies for resource allocation, and (iii) develop a digital architecture capable of scaling the developed forecasting system across multiple sites at a per-plant resolution, ready for the UK market. FinerForecasts will produce more accurate yield forecasts, contributing up to £56m(see\_outcomes\_and\_route\_to\_market) of benefits to the current strawberry market, and the generation of new tools for growers to manage crops. The project also aims to reduce waste (currently 18KT) and the CO2 emissions (46KT CO2e), water, and pesticides embedded in that waste, reducing environmental impact, driving productivity, and securing a more resilient and sustainable fresh produce sector. FinerForecasts leverages FruitCast's ability to quickly and cheaply measure crop state from videos to make plant-level forecasts possible at commercial scales, increasing forecast accuracy. The University of Lincoln's expertise in agri-robotics and AI will contribute to the project's success, and Chambers' support will enable data collection and deployment of systems. FinerForecasts will transform the soft fruit industry by providing accurate and granular yield forecasts, reducing waste and environmental impact, optimising resources, and improving the resilience and sustainability of the fresh produce sector.

FinerForecasts 是由 FruitCast 领导的一个合作项目，与林肯大学和英国肯特郡软果种植商钱伯斯大学合作。该项目将利用基于观测的系统提高软果作物预测的准确性。作物预测对于生鲜农产品业务运营至关重要，因为它使农民能够匹配供需、设定价格、减少浪费、规划劳动力和优化资源。现有的预测工具范围从种植者直觉到机器学习驱动的模型，而且众所周知不可靠，会导致收入损失。 FinerForecasts 将开发一个植物测绘系统，实现植物级预测，该系统融合了植物之间的变异性，提高了整体预测的准确性，并使种植者能够在产量受到影响之前优化资源并解决问题点。这扩展了 FruitCast 当前基于观测的预测方法，包括拍摄农作物视频并定位其中的水果和花朵，以预测年龄、重量和收获日期。该项目旨在实现三个目标：(i) 通过生物调节的产量预测模型，提前 3 周为整个种植者地点提供误差在 15% 以内的可靠产量预测，(ii) 生成工厂层面的、农艺相关的预测产量及其变异性地图，以优化资源分配策略，以及 (iii) 开发一个数字架构，能够在每个工厂的多个地点扩展已开发的预测系统 决议，为英国市场做好准备。 FinerForecasts 将提供更准确的产量预测，为当前草莓市场贡献高达 5600 万英镑（参见结果和市场路线）的收益，并为种植者提供管理农作物的新工具。该项目还旨在减少废物（目前为 18KT）以及废物中的二氧化碳排放量（46KT CO2e）、水和农药，从而减少对环境的影响，提高生产力，并确保生鲜农产品行业更具弹性和可持续性。 FinerForecasts 利用 FruitCast 快速、廉价地通过视频测量作物状态的能力，使商业规模的植物级预测成为可能，从而提高预测准确性。林肯大学在农业机器人和人工智能方面的专业知识将有助于该项目的成功，而钱伯斯的支持将有助于数据收集和系统部署。 FinerForecasts 将通过提供准确、精细的产量预测、减少浪费和环境影响、优化资源以及提高新鲜果蔬行业的弹性和可持续性来改变软果行业。