Quantifying emergence and dynamics of foodborne epidemics in Australia

量化澳大利亚食源性流行病的出现和动态

• 批准号: DP200103005
• 负责人: Prof Mikhail Prokopenko
• 金额: $ 37.01万
• 依托单位: The University of Sydney
• 依托单位国家: 澳大利亚
• 项目类别: Discovery Projects
• 财政年份: 2020
• 资助国家: 澳大利亚
• 起止时间: 2020-04-15 至 2023-12-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://dataportal.arc.gov.au/RGS/Web/Grants/DP200103005
• 关键词: Quantifying; emergence; dynamics; foodborne; epidemics

The project aims to greatly improve the accuracy and scope of computational epidemiological models predicting emergence and evolution of foodborne diseases in Australia. It expects to reveal key pathways for both biological evolution of microorganisms, and their spread though food supply chains and human interactions. The intended outcomes include discovering how the most dominant strains of foodborne infection emerge and self-organise in complex networks, how to predict and contain the epidemics closer to their source, and which are the most vulnerable groups and communities. This should make a significant economic and social impact, improving health of the population, while also safeguarding national and international supply chains.

该项目旨在极大地提高预测澳大利亚食源性疾病出现和演变的计算流行病学模型的准确性和范围。它预计将揭示微生物的生物进化以及它们通过食品供应链和人类互动传播的关键途径。预期的结果包括发现最主要的食源性感染菌株是如何在复杂的网络中出现和自我组织的，如何预测和控制更接近其源头的流行病，以及哪些是最脆弱的群体和社区。这应该会产生重大的经济和社会影响，改善人民的健康，同时也保护国家和国际供应链。