THE EFFECTS OF TEENAGE AND ILLEGITIMATE BIRTHS

青少年和非婚生育的影响

• 批准号: 2204210
• 负责人: SETH G SANDERS
• 金额: $ 6.79万
• 依托单位: CARNEGIE-MELLON UNIVERSITY
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 财政年份: 1994
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 1994-05-01 至 1997-04-30
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://reporter.nih.gov/project-details/2204210
• 关键词: adolescence (12-20); age at pregnancy; child rearing; education; employment of women; female; health surveys; human data; induced abortion; longitudinal human study; low socioeconomic status; marriage /marital status; public assistance; socioeconomics; spontaneous abortion; vital statistics

In this proposed research project, we will: (1) develop and implement a new quasi-experimental method that which exploits information on the random nature of certain biological processes of human fetal development, namely the occurrence of chromosomally aberrant miscarriages, in conjunction with survey data, to put statistically robust and tight lower and upper bounds on the effect of teenage and/or illegitimate childbearing on a range of socioeconomic outcomes of the mother as an adult; (2) test economic and sociological theories of why some women have children as teenagers while others do not by validating whether estimators that incorporate these theories yield estimates of teenage childbearing that lie within our bounds; and (3) use alternative types of information and/or assumptions in conjunction with our non- parametric bounds to explore ways to tighten our proposed non- parametric bounds of the causal effects of early and out-of-wedlock childbearing so that they are more precise and to examine less highly parameterized versions of the types of behavioral assumptions, such comparative advantage and/or common factor structures, used in previous studies. Using data from the National Longitudinal Study of Youth (NLSY) and supplementary data from a variety of sources to generate estimates of incidence rates of chromosomally aberrant miscarriages and other reproductive events, we will develop this new methodology to investigate the effects of teenage and out- of-wedlock childbearing on: high school completion rates, post-high school educational attainment, the labor force participation rates and wages achieved, the propensity to marry and remain married, the propensity to receive welfare, and the propensity to live in poverty, where these outcomes will be measured when the woman is in her late 20's.

在这项拟议的研究项目中，我们将：(1)开发和 实施一种新的准实验方法，该方法利用 关于某些生物过程的随机性质的信息 人类胎儿发育，即染色体上的发生 反常流产，结合调查数据， 统计稳健性和紧致效应的上下界 青少年和/或私生子在一系列 母亲成年后的社会经济结果；(2)检验经济 以及社会学理论解释为什么有些女性 青少年，而其他人则不是，通过验证估计者是否 结合这些理论得出青少年生育的估计数字 属于我们的范围；以及(3)使用替代类型的 信息和/或假设与我们的 参数界限，以探索收紧我们提议的非 早婚和未婚的因果效应的参数界限 生育，这样他们就更精确，检查更少 行为类型的高度参数化版本 假设，如比较优势和/或共同因素 结构，在以前的研究中使用。使用国家统计局的数据 青年纵向研究(NLSY)和补充数据 各种来源以产生对发病率的估计 染色体异常流产和其他生殖事件， 我们将开发这一新的方法来研究 青少年和未婚生育：高中毕业 税率、高中后教育程度、劳动力 实现的参与率和工资，结婚倾向和 保持婚姻，接受福利的倾向，以及 生活在贫困中的倾向，这些结果将是 这是在这名女子快20岁的S时测量的。