Advancing uncertainty prioritisation in water resource management

该项目旨在为综合水资源评估和管理中的不确定因素确定优先次序制定一个整体框架，以协助水资源分析人员和规划人员提高水资源管理成果的可持续性。该框架将帮助科学家、顾问、政策制定者和用水者更好地选择在他们的工作中解决哪些不确定性来源，使用什么资源，以及使用什么方法。预期结果是一种新的分析方法，用于评估不确定性优先排序的当前做法，交流何时以及如何使用已建立的和新的不确定性管理技术，并使用基于概念验证的模型分析改进不确定性优先排序。该项目应该改善政策和行业的决策，以及水管理的社会和环境成果。

This project aims to develop a holistic framework for prioritisation of uncertainties in Integrated Water Resource Assessment and Management to assist water resource analysts and planners to improve sustainability of water resource management outcomes. The framework will help scientists, consultants, policy makers and water users better select which sources of uncertainty to address in their work, with what resources, and what methods. Expected outcomes are novel analytical methods to evaluate current practice in uncertainty prioritisation, communicate when and how to use established and novel uncertainty management techniques, and improve prioritisation of uncertainty using proof-of-concept model-based analyses. The project should improve decision making in policy and industry, and societal and environmental outcomes of water management.