LONG RANGE POPULATION PROJECTION BY DISABILITY STATUS II
按残疾状况分类的长期人口预测 II
基本信息
- 批准号:2451051
- 负责人:
- 金额:$ 34.74万
- 依托单位:
- 依托单位国家:美国
- 项目类别:
- 财政年份:1996
- 资助国家:美国
- 起止时间:1996-02-15 至 1999-08-31
- 项目状态:已结题
- 来源:
- 关键词:
项目摘要
This is a proposal to construct a personal computer software package that
would produce long range population forecasts in the form of person level
files. The package would include base year populations for each of the
states and the U.S. It would also provide default projections tied
closely to the forecasts of federal agencies, or allow the analyst to
substitute customized alternatives. The package is intended to provide
the technical analyst a tool to prepare multiple forecasts of a state or
region with modest investment of time and expense.
The person level files would consist of a non institutionalized, non
disabled population, a non institutionalized disabled population and a
population in long term medical care facilities. This would be assembled
by statistically matching public use files. The files would include
economic and demographic characteristics of the population with an
emphasis on demand for long term care services and the capacity to finance
these services through personal resources or public financing. The model
would compete as a simpler (and less ambitious) alternative to existing
products.
The manual to accompany the software would provide a detailed guide for
preparing historical studies from published data to implement a
demographic-economic forecast.
PROPOSED COMMERCIAL APPLICATION: This projection software would be
marketed to professionals working in demographic applications including
insurance companies, state Medicaid agencies, long term care providers,
and consultants. The accompanying handbook is expected to have a wider
independent audience including researchers and students.
这是一个构建个人计算机软件包的提议,
将以人口水平的形式进行长期人口预测。
文件. 这套资料将包括每个国家的基年人口,
它还将提供违约预测,
接近联邦机构的预测,或允许分析师
替代定制的替代品。 该软件包旨在提供
技术分析师的工具,准备多个预测的状态或
投资时间和费用不多的地区。
个人级别的文件将包括一个非制度化的,非
残疾人口、非机构化残疾人口和
长期医疗护理设施中的人口。 这将是组装
通过统计匹配公共使用文件。 这些文件将包括
人口的经济和人口特征,
强调对长期护理服务的需求和筹资能力
这些服务通过个人资源或公共资金提供。 模型
将作为一种更简单(且不那么雄心勃勃)的替代方案,
产品.
软件附带的手册将提供详细的指南,
根据公布的数据编写历史研究报告,
人口经济预测
建议的商业应用:该投影软件将
面向从事人口统计学应用的专业人士,
保险公司,州医疗补助机构,长期护理提供者,
和顾问。 预计随附的手册将有更广泛的
包括研究人员和学生在内的独立受众。
项目成果
期刊论文数量(0)
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科研奖励数量(0)
会议论文数量(0)
专利数量(0)
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{{ truncateString('DAVID R MC KUSICK', 18)}}的其他基金
LONG RANGE POPULATION PROJECTION BY DISABILITY STATUS II
按残疾状况分类的长期人口预测 II
- 批准号:
2769377 - 财政年份:1996
- 资助金额:
$ 34.74万 - 项目类别: