Expecting the unexpected: how people prioritise predictability

期待意外情况：人们如何优先考虑可预测性

• 批准号: DP190102708
• 负责人: Dr Oren Griffiths
• 金额: $ 12.63万
• 依托单位: Flinders University
• 依托单位国家: 澳大利亚
• 项目类别: Discovery Projects
• 财政年份: 2019
• 资助国家: 澳大利亚
• 起止时间: 2019-06-04 至 2023-12-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://dataportal.arc.gov.au/RGS/Web/Grants/DP190102708
• 关键词: Expecting; unexpected; how; people; prioritise

This project aims to investigate how people represent and use information about unpredictability in their environment. Seeing too much predictability is problematic, but seeing too little can also be a problem, for example inappropriate "learned helplessness" can occur, whereby people feel disempowered because the world is seen as random. Recent findings demonstrated a bias in fundamental learning that may maintain these inappropriate beliefs about unpredictability. This bias is not anticipated by formal theories of learning. The project will investigate how this bias is brought about by first formalising a novel theory of fundamental learning and then systematically testing its assumptions.

这个项目旨在调查人们如何表示和使用关于他们环境中的不可预测性的信息。看到太多的可预测性是有问题的，但看到的太少也可能是一个问题，例如，可能会发生不适当的“习得性无助”，人们会因为世界被视为随机而感到无能为力。最近的发现表明，在基础学习方面存在偏见，这可能会维持这些关于不可预测性的不适当信念。正式的学习理论没有预料到这种偏见。该项目将调查这种偏见是如何通过首先将一种新的基本学习理论形式化，然后系统地测试其假设而产生的。