ORIGIN COMMUNITIE'S IMPACT ON MEXICAN MIGRATION TO U.S.

本研究分析了当地经济条件的影响 在墨西哥国内和美国移民。 它使用回溯生命 两次移徙调查提供的历史和横截面数据。 位于宾夕法尼亚大学的墨西哥移民项目， 一直在收集有关美国在选定的墨西哥移民经验的调查数据， 自1987年以来，在美国的目的地地区。 目前数据是 为39个社区的7，599户家庭提供。 萨卡特卡斯州 1991年，萨卡特卡斯大学进行了移民调查， 墨西哥国家统计研究所提供国家一级的 关于美国和国内劳动力迁移的信息。 该调查收集了 该州56个州中有29个州的6,528个随机抽样家庭的信息 乡镇。 拟议研究的目的是评估 当地经济条件对移徙的影响， 移民战略的选择。 具体目标是：（1）确定 原产地群落经济特征对发生的影响， 移民到美国的时间;（2）确定原籍国的影响 社区经济特征对回归发生和时间的影响 移民到墨西哥;（3）推进我们对如何 迁移行为与整个生命过程有关， 经济特征影响移民策略的选择;（4） 确定当地和区域经济特征对 与国内移民相比，美国移民的可能性;（5）预测 在工资增长和经济增长的替代情景下的移民行为 本报告以萨卡特卡斯州为例介绍了发展情况。

DESCRIPTION: This research analyzes the impact of local economic conditions in Mexico on internal and U.S. migration. It uses retrospective life histories and cross-sectional data available from two migration surveys. The Mexican Migration Project, based at the University of Pennsylvania, has been collecting survey data on U.S. migration experience in selected Mexican communities and in U.S. destination areas since 1987. Presently data is available for 7,599 households from 39 communities. The state of Zacatecas Migration Survey was conducted in 1991 by the University of Zacatecas and the Mexican National Statistical Institute to provide state level information on U.S. and internal labor migration. The survey collected information for 6,528 randomly sampled households in 29 of the state's 56 townships. The objective of the proposed research is to assess the influence of local economic conditions on the occurrence of migration and the choice of migration strategy. The specific aims are: (1) Determine the impact of origin community economic characteristics on the occurrence and timing of migration to the United States; (2) Determine the impact of origin community economic characteristics on the occurrence and timing of return migration to Mexico; (3) Advance our theoretical understanding of how migration behavior is linked across the life course and how origin community economic characteristics influence the choice of migration strategy; (4) Determine the impact of local and regional economic characteristic on the likelihood of U.S. compared to internal migration; and , (5) Forecast migration behavior under alternative scenarios of wage growth and economic development using the state of Zacatecas as an example.