ECONOMIC CONSEQUENCES OF ILLNESS IN AN AGING SOCIETY

随着美国人口老龄化和预期寿命的增加， 如果继续下去，发病和死亡之间的时间长度可能会延长， 或合同。 这种扩张或压缩的经济后果 发病率可能很高。 提出了一项研究计划， 目的：1）衡量老年人的医疗保健资源使用情况; 2）估计 卫生保健资源使用与发病率和残疾关系 老年人; 3）模拟膨胀或压缩的影响， 发病率对人口保健支出的影响， 老年人; 4）调查和模拟干预措施的经济影响 旨在预防老年人的疾病和残疾。 该奖项的候选人具有以下方面的研究背景和经验： 1)卫生保健经济学和筹资，包括直接 前瞻性观察研究中的疾病成本，2）多 卫生保健干预措施的学科研究和3）最近的经验 评估老年人疾病的影响。 最初的重点 这个研究项目将针对老年人的心血管疾病， 这一人群发病和死亡的主要原因。 方法 估计和模拟老年人的医疗保健资源， 心血管疾病随后将被修改，并适用于其他 老年人的重大疾病/状况。

As the population of the U.S. ages and increases in life expectancy continue, the length of time between onset of disease and death may expand or contract. The economic consequences of such expansion or compression of morbidity could be significant. A research program is proposed which seeks to: 1) measure the health care resource use of older adults; 2) estimate the relationship of health care resource use to morbidity and disability in older adults; 3) model the impact that expansion or compression of morbidity would have on population-based expenditures for health care of older adults; 4) investigate and model the economic impact of interventions designed to prevent disease and disability in older adults. The candidate for this award has a research background and experience in: 1) health care economics and financing including measurement of the direct costs of illness in prospective observational studies, 2) multi- disciplinary research of health care interventions and 3) recent experience in evaluating the impact of diseases of older adults. The initial focus of this research program will be on cardiovascular disease in older adults, the leading cause of morbidity and mortality in this population. Methods of estimating and modeling health care resource in older adults with cardiovascular disease will subsequently be modified and applied to other significant diseases/conditions in older adults.