CHANGE IN ELDERLY HOUSEHOLDS: RACE/ETHNIC COMPARISONS

这项建议的主要目标是评估老年人的生活状况 在两个重要政策和研究方面的安排 问题：(1)不同年龄的老年人在生活安排上的差异 群体(例如，年轻人和老年人)以及三个群体 种族/族裔群体(例如，非西班牙裔白人、黑人和 拉美裔)，在不同的老龄化模式下；和(2) 中国私人和公共经济资源之间的平衡 对老年人的支持，特别是在这种平衡的情况下 在年龄或种族/民族方面的差异。这些问题是 纳入对老年家庭的三步分析 当代美国的作曲。 在分析的第一步，模式和变化 1960-1985年间老年人的家庭构成 使用人口普查和调查数据进行了分析。的主要目标 这一步骤是(A)提供对以下模式的严格估计 年龄和种族/族裔群体的家庭构成，这是一项任务 将受益于这些数据中提供的大量样本；及 生成对家庭构成差异的估计 选定的出生队列，这项任务只能通过使用 很长一段时间内的大型国家数据集。这 分析的步骤提供了对历史的洞察 建立老年家庭行为的“社会模式”， 模特可能会因队列和种族/民族而异。这个 分析的第二步解决了以下几个方面的重要性 家庭构成预测因素集(例如，人口统计 特征、经济资源、健康和家庭 资源)，使用来自收入和计划调查的数据 参与(SIPP)。这一分析预计将受益于 更详细的经济和卫生措施可在 SIPP，并提供对年各个过渡的估计 家庭构成。在分析的第三步中，a危险 对家庭变化问题采取了办法， 我们的目标不仅是提供有关可能性的新信息 经历家庭变化，但也是这些变化的时机 相对于其他个别变化的时序的变化， 尤其是经济地位的变化。在最后一段中， 分析所有三个步骤的组合将重点放在 老年人口中“高龄”部分的分析， 确定不同和相似之处的目标 影响老年人家庭构成的决定因素 跨度。

The primary objective of this proposal is to assess elderly living arrangements in terms of two important policy and research issues: (1) differences in elderly living arrangements among age groups (e.g., young-old versus old-old) and among three race/ethnic groups (e.g., non-Hispanic whites, blacks, and Hispanics), in the context of different patterns of aging; and (2) the balance between private and public economic resources in the support of elderly individuals, particularly as this balance results in differences by age or race/ethnicity. These issues are incorporated into a three-step analysis of elderly household composition in the contemporary United States. In the first step of the analysis, patterns of and changes in household composition among the elderly between 1960 and 1985 are analyzed, using census and survey data. The major goals of this step are (a) to provide rigorous estimates of the patterns of household composition for age and race/ethnic groups, a task that will benefit from the large samples provided in these data; and (b) to generate estimates of differences in household composition for selected birth cohorts, a task that can only be accomplished using large national data sets across an extended period of time. This step of the analysis provides insights as to the historical establishment of "social models" of household behavior in old age, models which likely vary by cohort and race/ethnicity. The second step of the analysis addresses the importance of several sets of household composition predictors (e.g., demographic characteristics, economic resources, health, and family resources), using data from the Survey of Income and Program Participation (SIPP). This analysis is expected to benefit from the more detailed economic and health measures available in the SIPP, and to provide estimates of individual transitions in household composition. In the third step of the analysis a hazards approach to the issue of household change is implemented, with the goal of providing new information on not only the likelihoods of experiencing household change but also the timing of those changes relative to the timing of other individual changes, especially changes in economic status. In a final segment of the analysis a combination of all three steps will be focused on the analysis of the "oldest-old" portion of the elderly population, with the goal of identifying differences and similarities in determinants of household composition across the elderly age span.