The Political Economy of Water in the MENA Region: a Cross-Regional Assessment

中东和北非地区的水政治经济学：跨区域评估

• 批准号: EP/Y032993/1
• 负责人: Anthony Shapland
• 金额: $ 12.62万
• 依托单位: London School of Economics and Political Science
• 依托单位国家: 英国
• 项目类别: Research Grant
• 财政年份: 2024
• 资助国家: 英国
• 起止时间: 2024 至 无数据
• 项目状态: 未结题
• 来源: https://gtr.ukri.org/projects?ref=EP%2FY032993%2F1
• 关键词: Political; Economy; Water; MENA; Region

The proposed research will assess the challenges facing MENA countries as they attempt to achieve water security, over the period between now and the middle of this century. It will identify the countries and demographic groups likely to be most severely affected. It will look at all the various factors which could affect water security in the region, including the effectiveness (or otherwise) of governments, climate change, population growth, pollution and the unsustainable consumption of ground-water. Particular attention would be paid to the countries of the Maghreb (North Africa minus Egypt), as British and US researchers have not examined water issues in these countries as thoroughly as they have those affecting the Middle East. The research will examine how well-equipped individual MENA governments are to deal with the challenges they face in trying to ensure that their countries have adequate supplies of water of acceptable quality. It will assess the prospects for constructive cooperation among MENA states and, where those prospects seem poor, the likelihood of increased tension or even conflict between particular states over water.Finally, it will suggest what the UK might realistically do to help these countries better address these challenges. Any such recommendations will avoid utopian solutions that would be likely to prove to be a waste of UK taxpayers' money.

拟议的研究将评估中东和北非国家从现在到本世纪中叶在努力实现水安全时所面临的挑战。它将确定可能受到最严重影响的国家和人口群体。它将研究可能影响该地区水安全的所有各种因素，包括政府的有效性（或其他方面）、气候变化、人口增长、污染和地下水的不可持续消耗。应特别关注马格里布国家（北非不包括埃及），因为英国和美国的研究人员尚未像影响中东的水问题那样彻底研究这些国家的水问题。该研究将考察中东和北非各国政府是否有足够的能力来应对他们在努力确保其国家拥有充足的质量可接受的水供应方面所面临的挑战。它将评估中东和北非国家之间建设性合作的前景，以及在前景黯淡的情况下，评估特定国家之间因水资源问题加剧紧张甚至冲突的可能性。最后，它将建议英国实际可以采取哪些措施来帮助这些国家更好地应对这些挑战。任何此类建议都将避免可能被证明浪费英国纳税人资金的乌托邦解决方案。