The Political Economy of Water in the MENA Region: a Cross-Regional Assessment

中东和北非地区的水政治经济学：跨区域评估

• 批准号: EP/Y032993/1
• 负责人: Anthony Shapland
• 金额: $ 12.62万
• 依托单位: London School of Economics and Political Science
• 依托单位国家: 英国
• 项目类别: Research Grant
• 财政年份: 2024
• 资助国家: 英国
• 起止时间: 2024 至 无数据
• 项目状态: 未结题
• 来源: https://gtr.ukri.org/projects?ref=EP%2FY032993%2F1
• 关键词: Political; Economy; Water; MENA; Region

The proposed research will assess the challenges facing MENA countries as they attempt to achieve water security, over the period between now and the middle of this century. It will identify the countries and demographic groups likely to be most severely affected. It will look at all the various factors which could affect water security in the region, including the effectiveness (or otherwise) of governments, climate change, population growth, pollution and the unsustainable consumption of ground-water. Particular attention would be paid to the countries of the Maghreb (North Africa minus Egypt), as British and US researchers have not examined water issues in these countries as thoroughly as they have those affecting the Middle East. The research will examine how well-equipped individual MENA governments are to deal with the challenges they face in trying to ensure that their countries have adequate supplies of water of acceptable quality. It will assess the prospects for constructive cooperation among MENA states and, where those prospects seem poor, the likelihood of increased tension or even conflict between particular states over water.Finally, it will suggest what the UK might realistically do to help these countries better address these challenges. Any such recommendations will avoid utopian solutions that would be likely to prove to be a waste of UK taxpayers' money.

拟议中的研究将评估从现在到本世纪中叶这段时间内，中东和北非国家在努力实现水安全时面临的挑战。它将确定可能受到最严重影响的国家和人口群体。它将研究所有可能影响该地区水安全的各种因素，包括政府的有效性（或其他方面）、气候变化、人口增长、污染和地下水的不可持续消耗。将特别关注马格里布国家（北非不包括埃及），因为英国和美国的研究人员没有像研究影响中东的问题那样彻底地研究这些国家的水问题。这项研究将考察中东和北非各国政府在努力确保其国家拥有足够的、质量可接受的水供应时，应对挑战的能力。它将评估中东和北非国家之间建设性合作的前景，如果前景不佳，则评估某些国家之间因水问题而加剧紧张局势甚至发生冲突的可能性。最后，它将建议英国实际可以做些什么来帮助这些国家更好地应对这些挑战。任何此类建议都将避免乌托邦式的解决方案，因为这些解决方案很可能被证明是在浪费英国纳税人的钱。