Sub-National Context and Radical Right Support in Europe

对极右翼的选举支持，包括法国国民阵线、德国新选择党、荷兰自民党和英国独立党等政党，长期以来一直对许多欧洲国家的主流政治构成挑战。此前的研究表明，历史上支持此类政党的主要动机一直是反移民情绪，以及最近的反穆斯林态度。这些因素通过地方和国家背景在人们的投票决策中变得重要。对激进右翼政党的比较研究主要集中在国家一级的指标和在解释对这些政党的支持差异时的个人动机。一些研究使用当地数据来研究一个国家不同地区的支持率如何变化，但到目前为止，还没有比较研究来正式确定国家以下条件和背景对激进右翼支持的影响。该项目汇集了一个跨学科的政治学、社会学和地理学小组，为四个主要国家(法国、德国、荷兰和英国)建立了这样一种分析，这些国家提供了不同的机构、基础设施、社会经济和意识形态背景来研究这一现象。这个为期三年的项目将有三个主要目标。首先，它将整理来自官方来源的所有现有二级政治和社会经济数据，以便在不同的区域和地方各级建立一个跨时间的数据库。其次，它将用四个国家的标准化民意调查来补充这些数据，以收集一组最新的个人人口、态度和行为信息。最后，它将在一个激进右翼支持的完整模式中将这些因素结合在一起，以确定领土背景和个人因素各自的作用。结果将对激进右翼支持的决定因素提供无与伦比的详细了解，这对于我们的学术理解以及利益攸关方在解决与支持这些政党相关的问题方面的政策规划和执行都将是重要的。

Electoral support for the radical right, including parties such as the French FN, the German AfD, the Dutch PVV and UKIP in Britain, has long presented a challenge to mainstream politics in many European nations. Previous research has shown that the principal motivation for supporting such parties has historically been anti-immigrant sentiments, and more recently anti-Muslim attitudes. Such factors become important in people's voting decision through local and national context. Comparative research into radical right parties has focused mainly on national-level indicators and individual motivations when explaining variation in support for these parties. Some research uses local data to look at how support varies in different parts of a country, but to date there is an absence of comparative research which formalises the effect of subnational conditions and context on radical right support. This project brings together an interdisciplinary political science, sociology and geography team to build such an analysis for four key countries (France, Germany, the Netherlands and the UK) which provide different institutional, infrastructural, socio-economic and ideological contexts in which to study the phenomenon. The three-year project will have three main objectives. First, it will collate all available secondary political and socio-economic data from official sources to establish an across-time database at different regional and local levels. Second, it will supplement these data with a standardised public opinion survey across the four countries, to collect an up-to-date set of individual demographic, attitude and behavioural information. Lastly, it will bring these together in a full model of radical right support, to identify the respective role of territorial context and individual factors. The results will provide an unparalleled level of detailed understanding of the determinants of radical right support, which will be of importance both to our academic understanding and to stakeholders' policy planning and implementation in addressing the issues associated with support for these parties.