Ethnic minority voters in 2019: Brexitland, or business as usual?

在英国，几乎十分之一的选民来自少数民族背景。然而，现有的关于政治变革的描述对少数族裔的政治选择关注不足，学术界和政界对英国退欧对随后投票选择的影响的理解到目前为止都是参差不齐和不完整的。其主要原因是，对少数族裔进行具有代表性的量化研究超出了ESRC通常的标准拨款限额。我们建议以半结构式访问90位少数族裔受访者，以探讨脱欧公投及其后的国家政治变化对少数族裔政治选择的不同影响。然后，我们将用来自理解协会的具有代表性的、关于少数族裔在英国退欧公投以及2017年和2019年选举中的投票选择的具有代表性的“薄”量化数据，对采访中的“厚”数据进行三角测量。我们将与ESRC投资项目谅解学会合作进行联合研究。使用家庭小组研究中的受访者是理想的--该小组包含关于2010年以来受访者政治选择的大量信息，使我们能够有目的地根据他们的政治立场对潜在受访者进行抽样(例如，实现相同数量的留欧和脱欧支持者)，并用有关他们的家庭和个人历史的其他信息补充定性数据。根据《理解社会》的要求，我们将把面试的成绩单存放起来，以供二次分析。

Almost one in ten voters in Britain comes from an ethnic minority background. However, existing accounts of political change pay insufficient attention to the political choices of ethnic minorities, and both academic and political understanding of the effects of Brexit on subsequent vote choice is so far patchy and incomplete. The principal reason for this is that conducting a representative quantitative study of ethnic minorities exceeds the usual ESRC standard grant funding limits. We propose to conduct 90 semi-structured interviews with ethnic minority respondents of Understanding Society to explore the varying effects of the EU referendum, and subsequent national political changes on the political choices of ethnic minorities. We will then triangulate this 'thick' data from interviews, with representative 'thin' quantitative data from the Understanding Society on the vote choices of ethnic minorities in the Brexit referendum, and elections in 2017 and 2019. We will collaborate with the ESRC investment project Understanding Society as an Associated Study. Using respondents embedded in the household panel study is ideal - the panel contains a great deal of information on respondents' political choices back to 2010, allowing us to purposively sample potential interviewees according to their politics (e.g. to achieve equal numbers of Remain and Leave supporters), and also to supplement the qualitative data with other information about their household and personal history. In accordance with Understanding Society requirements we will deposit the transcriptions from interviews for secondary analysis.