Climate information for improved adaptation decision-making: NERC and Environment Agency Policy Placement Fellowship

用于改进适应决策的气候信息：NERC 和环境局政策安置奖学金

• 批准号: NE/K006711/1
• 负责人: Matthew Charlton
• 金额: $ 5.98万
• 依托单位: University of Reading
• 依托单位国家: 英国
• 项目类别: Fellowship
• 财政年份: 2012
• 资助国家: 英国
• 起止时间: 2012 至 无数据
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://gtr.ukri.org/projects?ref=NE%2FK006711%2F1
• 关键词: Climate; information; improved; adaptation; decision

The need for effective long-term adaptation to climate change is widely recognised. The UK Climate Change Risk Assessment (CCRA) sets out the main risks to the UK from climate change and the priorities for adaptation. Through 2012, the Government will be developing the National Adaptation Programme to set out the actions that will be taken to improve resilience to climate change. One such action is for the Environment Agency to provide advice and support to businesses and public sector organisations to help them adapt to a changing climate. There is scope for greater understanding of how best to represent climate change information to enable adaptation decision-making. Therefore, the aim of the policy placement will be to use research to inform the development and delivery of climate information through the Environment Agency's new Climate Ready adaptation advice service.Traditional approaches to environmental planning make an implicit assumption of climate stationarity: the weather experienced in recent decades is used to represent the climatic conditions of the future. Simple methods allow adjustment of historic climate to represent future conditions, while effectively maintaining the assumption of climate stationarity. However, these methods are not suitable for use with transient climate projections, and new approaches may need to be developed.This policy placement is intended to investigate this problem further with case studies drawn from the Environment Agency's new adaptation advice duties, which cover key sectors including: built environment, forestry and agriculture, and major infrastructure. It will examine the question of whether the use of transient climate sequences improves long-term planning for climate change. The fellow will work in the climate change research team in the Evidence Directorate. This team has a strong track record of delivering high quality policy-relevant research, as well as an impressive list of peer-reviewed publications. This is an outstanding opportunity to develop research that has a genuine impact with practitioners.

人们普遍认识到需要长期有效地适应气候变化。联合王国气候变化风险评估（CCRA）列出了联合王国因气候变化而面临的主要风险以及适应气候变化的优先事项。到2012年，政府将制定《国家适应方案》，规定为提高对气候变化的适应能力而将采取的行动。其中一项行动是环境署为企业和公共部门组织提供建议和支持，帮助他们适应不断变化的气候。对于如何以最佳方式提供气候变化信息以促进适应决策，仍有进一步了解的余地。因此，政策定位的目的是通过环境署新的气候准备适应咨询服务，利用研究为气候信息的开发和提供提供信息。传统的环境规划方法隐含了气候平稳性的假设：近几十年的天气被用来代表未来的气候条件。简单的方法允许调整历史气候来代表未来的条件，同时有效地保持气候平稳性的假设。然而，这些方法不适合用于瞬态气候预测，可能需要开发新的方法，这一政策安排旨在通过环境署新的适应咨询职责中的案例研究进一步调查这一问题，这些职责涵盖关键部门，包括：建筑环境，林业和农业，以及主要基础设施。它将审查使用瞬态气候序列是否能改善气候变化的长期规划的问题。该研究员将在证据理事会的气候变化研究团队工作。该团队在提供高质量的政策相关研究方面有着良好的记录，以及令人印象深刻的同行评审出版物清单。这是一个很好的机会，可以开发对从业者产生真正影响的研究。