Analysing the effects of economic shocks on individual workers and firms

作为我博士学位的一部分，我希望研究不同的工人和公司如何以及为什么对经济冲击做出反应。不同的工人群体，比如受教育程度较低、可转让技能较少、性别或种族不同的工人，在一次特定的冲击之后，可能会产生不同的结果。同样，不同规模、不同所有制结构或不同员工构成的公司对同样的冲击也可能有不同的反应。我计划对这些现象进行经济建模，以得出可证伪的预测，我将使用行政、公司和个人层面的数据集对其进行结构性测试。与此相关的是，我计划在我的本科论文《国际贸易的劳动力市场效应：进口竞争如何影响英国工人的收入和就业？》的基础上，找出不同经济冲击对工人和企业的因果影响。来自发展中国家的进口竞争加剧，自动化和工作外包的影响越来越大，这只是当今影响发达经济体的一些冲击，它们对不同工人和公司的影响是一个重要的经济理论和政策问题。

As part of my PhD, I wish to research how and why different workers and firms react to economic shocks. Different groups of workers, such as those who are less educated, with less transferable skills, or of different gender or race, might have different outcomes following a given shock. Similarly, firms of different size, ownership structure, or worker composition might also have different reactions to the same shock. I plan to model these phenomena economically to derive falsifiable predictions which I will use administrative firm and individual level datasets to test structurally. Relatedly, I plan to find the causal effects of different economic shocks on workers and firms, building upon the results of my undergraduate dissertation entitled "Labour market effects of international trade: how does import competition affect UK workers' earnings and employment?". The increase in import competition from developing countries, the increasing effect of automation and job offshoring are just some of the shocks affecting developed economies today and their effect on different workers and firms is an important question, both for economic theory and policy.