Irish Fertility at the Turn of the Twentieth Century

二十世纪之交的爱尔兰生育率

• 批准号: 6678089
• 负责人: TIMOTHY W GUINNANE
• 金额: $ 28.97万
• 依托单位: YALE UNIVERSITY
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 财政年份: 2003
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2003-06-15 至 2006-05-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://reporter.nih.gov/project-details/6678089
• 关键词: British Isles; European; United States; behavioral /social science research tag; clinical research; computer program /software; computer system design /evaluation; epidemiology; female; fertility; human data; human migration; human population study; marriage /marital status; parity; religion; social class; social group; statistics /biometry; urban area

DESCRIPTION (provided by applicant): The proposed research will use the case of the Irish at the beginning of the twentieth century to investigate several explanations offered for the timing and pace of the European fertility transition. We will construct a sample from the manuscript schedules of the Irish census of 1911 and use already-extant samples from the U.S. census of 1910 to examine the roles of religion, class, migration, and neighbors in the Irish fertility transition. All of these factors have been advanced in varying ways as explanations for aspects of the fertility transition historically and in developing countries today. The Irish at the turn of the twentieth century offer an excellent opportunity to test these explanations because of the special features of the Irish population at the time. The Irish sample will be drawn from the cities of Dublin and Belfast. Rural Ireland has been studied much more extensively, and the urban Irish exhibit more religious and class heterogeneity. Most Irish-Americans also became urban dwellers, focusing our comparison of the emigrant population. All original datasets generated in the course of this research will be made available on websites. The Irish census and its U.S. counterpart asked married women how long they had been married, how many children they had, and how many survived. Using this intriguing source will require an extension of econometric models intended for use with "count" data. These models are applicable in a number of demographic studies, so the methodological aspect of this research will be of wider use. We will develop specialized software for our own research and make that software available to other researchers.

描述（由申请人提供）：拟议的研究将在20世纪初使用爱尔兰人的案例调查为欧洲生育过渡的时机和节奏提供的几种解释。我们将从1911年爱尔兰人口普查的手稿时间表中构建一个样本，并使用1910年美国人口普查的已经扩展的样本来研究宗教，阶级，迁移和邻居在爱尔兰生育过渡中的作用。所有这些因素都以不同的方式提出，作为对当今和发展中国家生育能力过渡方面的解释。由于当时爱尔兰人口的特殊特征，在20世纪初的爱尔兰人为测试这些解释提供了一个绝佳的机会。爱尔兰样本将从都柏林和贝尔法斯特的城市中获取。爱尔兰乡村的研究进行了更广泛的研究，爱尔兰城市表现出更多的宗教和阶级异质性。 大多数爱尔兰裔美国人也成为城市居民，重点是我们对移民人口的比较。本研究过程中生成的所有原始数据集将在网站上提供。 爱尔兰人口普查及其美国同行询问已婚妇女她已经结婚了多长时间，有多少个孩子以及有多少人幸存。使用此有趣的来源将需要扩展旨在与“计数”数据一起使用的计量经济学模型。这些模型适用于许多人口研究，因此这项研究的方法论方面将更广泛地使用。我们将为自己的研究开发专业软件，并将该软件可用于其他研究人员。