The impact of automation and technological change on the labor market

我们计划研究自动化和技术变革对劳动力市场的影响，特别是这对工人在职业生涯中的影响。我们评估这些问题的总体策略是开发和评估结构模型，这些模型描述了工人在职业生涯中的发展过程，包括何时工作的决定，从事哪些工作，如何投资于人力资本（或技能）。我们将根据职业所需的任务类型对职业进行分类，希望借此了解哪些职业正在推动劳动力市场的变化，以及这种变化与技术变革的关系。其中一个特别感兴趣的问题是不平等性，以及这种不平等性在劳动者的生命周期和不同劳动者群体之间的变化。我们希望了解过去半个世纪不平等的演变，以及这种演变在多大程度上是由生产产出的技术变化所驱动的。我们有兴趣回答的一些具体问题是：* 工资不平等在生命周期中如何变化 * 工资和就业的终身轨迹在不同群体之间如何变化 * 这些趋势在不同行业或职业的工人之间如何比较 * 这些趋势在多大程度上是由技术变革驱动的 * 工人使用什么策略来适应或确保不受技术变化的影响 * 这些策略的有效性如何，是否会随着时间的推移而变化

We plan to study the impact of automation and technological change on the labor market, and especially how this affects workers as they move through their careers.Our general strategy to assess these questions will be by developing and estimating structural models that describe the process by which workers progress through their careers, including decisions on when to work, which jobs to take, and critically, how to invest in human capital (or skills). We will classify occupations by the types of tasks that they require, and by doing so hope to understand which kinds of jobs are driving changes in the labor market and how this relates to technological change.One particular interest is inequality, and how this varies over workers' lifecycles and between different cohorts of workers. We hope to characterise the evolution of inequality over the past half century, and to what extent this has been driven by changes in the technologies with which output is produced.Some specific questions we are interested in answering are:* How does wage inequality vary over the lifecycle* How does the lifetime trajectory of wages and employment vary between cohorts* How do these trends compare between workers in different industries or occupations* To what extent are these trends driven by technological change* What strategies do workers use to adapt to or insure against technological change* How effective are these strategies, and is this changing over time