Compatibility of climate and biodiversity targets under future land use change.

要避免灾难性的气候变化，就需要社会变革。这种变化的一个关键方面将是农业和能源系统等部门。然而，有新的证据((Dunnett et al.2022年)，实现我们的气候雄心的一些选择有可能破坏全球商定的与生物多样性和生态系统服务有关的目标。因此，至关重要的是，未来的能源和农业系统必须同时应对气候危机和生态危机。要做到这一点，就需要确保用于满足未来能源和粮食需求的土地不影响我们维护甚至增加森林等自然生态系统的必要性。该项目的目的是开发和经验性地测试空间模型，以评估为减缓气候变化而对地貌的转型变化也能在多大程度上实现对人类福祉所依赖的自然系统的保护。分析将在区域范围内进行，为英国政府解决与政策相关的问题，并在全球范围内进行分析，以检查与气候和生物多样性有关的全球目标之间的兼容性。将从国际条约(如联合国可持续发展目标)及其区域执行战略(如英国25年环境计划)的角度审查问题。

Averting catastrophic climate change will require transformational societal change. A key aspect of such change will be in sectors such as agriculture and energy systems. However, there is emerging evidence ((Dunnett et al. 2022) that some options for achieving our climate ambitions risk undermining globally agreed targets relating to biodiversity and ecosystem services. It is therefore essential that future energy and agricultural systems are designed to address both the climate and ecological crisis in parallel. Doing so will require ensuring that land used to meet future energy and food demand does not impact our imperative to maintain and even increase natural ecosystems such as forests. The aim of this project is to develop and empirically test spatial models that assess the degree to which transformational change of landscapes to mitigate climate change can also achieve the protection of natural systems on which human wellbeing depends. Analysis will be conducted at both regional scale to address policy relevant questions for the UK government, and at global scale to examine compatibility between global targets relating to climate and biodiversity. Questions will be examined through the lens of international treaties (e.g UN SDGs) and their regional implementation strategies (e.g. UK 25 Year Environment Plan).