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Integrated modelling of impacts of urban policies to support urban decision making

城市政策影响的综合建模以支持城市决策

基本信息

批准号：
2880840
负责人：
金额：
--
依托单位：
Imperial College London
依托单位国家：
英国
项目类别：
Studentship
财政年份：
2023
资助国家：
英国
起止时间：
2023 至无数据
项目状态：
未结题

来源：
https://gtr.ukri.org/projects?ref=studentship-2880840
关键词：
Integrated modelling impacts urban policies

项目摘要

Urban policies to address climate change or improve air quality have the potential to generate significant co-benefits in public and planetary health, or in reverse lead to unintended consequences in other sectors. Yet, we create disjointed targets, campaigns and regulations that tackle problems in siloes. The lack of joined-up thinking is a wasted opportunity to improve urban sustainability and health. Quantifying benefits, co-benefits and trade-offs associated urban policies and their alternatives can help make the case for options that are most appealing from a holistic perspective. To be most useful the evidence-base must also recognize specific needs of policy cycles, public appeal, and competing interests. A systems perspective ultimately is needed to demonstrate the attractiveness or risks associated with different policy options and support decision-making.This PhD proposes to develop a decision-making support tool that includes integrated health and environmental impact models for policy makers to make informed choices using a systems perspective. A quantitative modelling framework linking existing and relatively user-friendly models will be assembled to assess jointly impacts of a range of urban policies. The project will focus on transport infrastructure and urban land use planning, demonstrating the varying degrees and extent of benefits, co-benefits, and trade-offs each entail. A co-creation approach will be used to scope the policies and impacts to be modelled.

应对气候变化或改善空气质量的城市政策有可能在公共和地球健康方面产生重大的共同效益，或者反过来在其他部门产生意想不到的后果。然而，我们制定了脱节的目标、活动和法规，以各自为政地解决问题。缺乏整体思维是浪费了改善城市可持续性和健康的机会。量化与城市政策及其替代方案相关的效益、共同效益和权衡，有助于从整体角度提出最具吸引力的方案。为了发挥最大的作用，证据基础还必须认识到政策周期、公众诉求和相互竞争的利益的具体需要。最终需要一个系统的观点来证明与不同政策选择相关的吸引力或风险，并支持决策。本博士建议开发一种决策支持工具，其中包括综合健康和环境影响模型，供政策制定者使用系统视角做出知情选择。将建立一个数量模型框架，将现有的和相对容易使用的模型联系起来，以共同评估一系列城市政策的影响。该项目将重点关注交通基础设施和城市土地利用规划，展示各自带来的不同程度和程度的效益、共同效益和权衡。将采用共同创造方法来确定要建模的政策和影响的范围。