Meta-analysis of Risk for School Failure

学业失败风险的荟萃分析

• 批准号: 6918105
• 负责人: SANDRA J WILSON
• 金额: $ 19.83万
• 依托单位: VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 财政年份: 2005
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2005-05-01 至 2008-02-28
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://reporter.nih.gov/project-details/6918105
• 关键词: academic achievement; adolescence (12-20); behavior prediction; behavioral /social science research tag; child (0-11); child behavior disorders; comorbidity; educational psychology; elementary school; gender difference; human data; information retrieval; literature survey; longitudinal human study; mental health information system; meta analysis; outcomes research; racial /ethnic difference; remedial /special education; secondary schools; socioeconomics; statistics /biometry; substance abuse related behavior; success

DESCRIPTION (provided by applicant): School failure and related problems are not only adverse events in their own right for the children who experience them, but are also related to a broad range of subsequent negative adolescent and adult outcomes. This circumstance makes it especially important to identify and understand the risk factors that predict school failure for purposes of selecting and diagnosing children in need of remedial services, designing preventive programs to offset risk factors and enhance protective ones, and guiding research on the causal processes that produce poor school outcomes. Research relevant to this issue includes a large number of longitudinal studies in which school outcomes and antecedent risk/protective variables are measured. However, no review paper, conceptual model, or systematic synthesis has yet drawn on the full depth and breadth of this research literature to compile, organize, and analyze the empirical relationships it reports. The overall aim of this project is to conduct a systematic synthesis of this body of research using advanced meta-analysis technique in order to address the following issues: 1. The capability of risk and protective variables observed during different age periods to predict school success or failure at later ages. The predictive ability of these variables will be examined in terms of the overall strength of association (product-moment correlation) and in terms of predictive accuracy (e.g., sensitivity and specificity). 2. The combinations of risk and protective variables that tend to co-occur during different age periods and the strength of their collective predictive ability when combined in multivariate factors. Particular attention will be paid to the convergence of empirical data with theoretical formulations about associations between risk/protective factors and school outcomes. 3. The extent of the co-occurrence (comorbidity) of school failure with other problem behaviors such as externalizing and internalizing behaviors and substance use at various age periods. 4. The differences in predictive relationships between risk/protective variables and school success/failure associated with the age, gender, and ethnicity of the students.

描述（由申请人提供）：学业失败和相关问题不仅是不良事件本身的儿童谁经历他们，但也涉及到广泛的后续负面青少年和成人的结果。在这种情况下，特别重要的是要确定和了解预测学业失败的风险因素，以选择和诊断需要补救服务的儿童，设计预防方案，以抵消风险因素和加强保护，并指导研究的因果过程，产生不良的学业成绩。 与这一问题有关的研究包括大量的纵向研究，其中衡量了学校的成果和先前的风险/保护变量。然而，没有评论文章，概念模型，或系统的综合还没有充分利用本研究文献的深度和广度来编译，组织和分析它所报告的经验关系。该项目的总体目标是使用先进的荟萃分析技术对这一研究机构进行系统的综合，以解决以下问题： 1.在不同年龄阶段观察到的风险和保护变量预测以后年龄的学校成功或失败的能力。这些变量的预测能力将根据整体关联强度（积矩相关性）和预测准确性（例如，灵敏度和特异性）。 2.风险和保护变量的组合，往往在不同的年龄段共同发生，以及在多变量因素组合时，其集体预测能力的强度。将特别注意经验数据与关于风险/保护因素与学校成绩之间的关联的理论公式的趋同。 3.在不同年龄阶段，学业失败与其他问题行为（如外化行为、内化行为和物质使用）的共现程度。 4.风险/保护变量和学校的成功/失败与学生的年龄，性别和种族之间的预测关系的差异。