Social Cash Transfers, Household Risk and HIV Prevention in Kenya

描述(由申请者提供)：该项目将评估肯尼亚政府的孤儿和弱势儿童现金转移计划(CT-OVC)对预防艾滋病毒的影响。这项研究有三个主要目的。首先是继续进行一项独特的社会实验，最初旨在评估该计划对患有OVC的超贫困家庭目标群体的一系列贫困、健康和教育成果的影响。我们将对这些家庭进行为期4年的跟踪调查，调查对象包括大约13000名个人和6,000名OVC，其中三分之一的人被随机排除在计划之外，其余的人从2007年开始接受现金补助。第二个目标是评估该计划对青少年艾滋病毒风险的影响，这将通过扩大原有调查工具，包括关于青少年性行为和危险行为的新模块来实现。第三个目标将评估该项目是否影响了成年人的时间偏好，以及时间偏好、主观风险评估和风险厌恶如何影响成年人从事储蓄、人力资本投资和高风险性行为等长期选择行为的倾向。

DESCRIPTION (provided by applicant): This project will assess the impact of the Government of Kenya's Cash Transfer for Orphan and Vulnerable Children Program (CT-OVC) on the prevention of HIV. The study has 3 main aims. The first is to continue a unique social experiment initially designed to evaluate the impact of the program on a range of poverty, health and education outcomes among the target group of ultra-poor households with OVC. We will field a 4 year follow-up survey on the same households, approximately 13000 individuals and 6000 OVC, one-third of who were randomized out of the program the remainder who began receiving a cash grant in 2007. The second aim is to assess the impact of the program on HIV risk among adolescents, which will be accomplished by expanding the original survey instrument to include new modules on sexual activity and risky behavior among adolescents. The third aim will assess whether the program has affected time preferences for adults, and how time preferences, subjective risk assessment and risk aversion influence the propensity to engage in choice behavior with long time horizons such as savings, human capital investment and risky sexual activity.