Longer Term Effects of a Natural Disaster on Health and Socio-Economic Status

自然灾害对健康和社会经济状况的长期影响

• 批准号: 8989885
• 负责人: ELIZABETH A FRANKENBERG
• 金额: $ 48.21万
• 依托单位: DUKE UNIVERSITY
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 财政年份: 2007
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2007-03-23 至 2017-12-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://reporter.nih.gov/project-details/8989885
• 关键词: Adult; Affect; Age; Algorithms; Area; Attention; Cessation of life; Child; China; Communities; Community Surveys; Complement; Data; Data Analyses; Databases; Development; Dimensions; Disasters; Dislocations; Economics; Employee Strikes; Employment; Event; Exposure to; Family; Fertility; Growth; Haiti; Health; Health Care Costs; Health Status; Household; Household and Family; Imagery; Immigration; Indian Ocean; Individual; Indonesia; Interview; Japan; Left; Life; Link; Long-Term Effects; Longitudinal Studies; Longitudinal Surveys; Marriage; Measures; Mediating; Mental Health; Methods; Natural Disasters; Natural experiment; Orphan; Outcome; Pakistan; Parents; Personal Satisfaction; Phase; Policies; Policy Analysis; Population; Population Dynamics; Population Sciences; Process; Property; Public Domains; Recovery; Research; Research Design; Resources; Respondent; Role; Sampling; Science Policy; Shock; Site; Socioeconomic Status; Spouses; Sri Lanka; Sumatra; Surface; Surveys; Survivors; Testing; Time; Trauma recovery; Tsunami; Variant; Work; acetone hydrazone; base; behavioral response; community setting; cost; design; experience; human capital; in utero; innovation; killings; land cover; migration; mortality; physical conditioning; programs; reconstruction; resilience; social; traumatic event

DESCRIPTION (provided by applicant): Natural disasters with death tolls in the tens of thousands and staggering social and health costs have struck across the globe in recent years. Yet, little evidence exists on the longer-term consequences of these disasters on survivors. In large part, this reflects a paucity of scientific data on affected populations. This project will collect and analyze two additional waves of the Study of the Tsunami Aftermath and Recovery (STAR) a large- scale longitudinal household and community survey that follows respondents who were living in coastal Sumatra, Indonesia, at the time of the 2004 Indian Ocean Tsunami, a massive natural disaster that killed over 160,000 Indonesians. Drawing on a pre-tsunami population-representative baseline of 27,000 individuals, we have tracked and re-interviewed tsunami survivors annually for 5 years; 95% of them have been interviewed at least once since the tsunami. Two additional household and community survey waves, collected 8 and 10 years after the tsunami, will provide a uniquely rich resource to measure not only the longer-term consequences of the tsunami on the well-being of children and prime age adults but to also investigate the mediating role of a broad array of behavioral responses to this large-scale, unanticipated and heterogeneous shock. Integrating the survey data with satellite imagery of land cover and night lights in conjunction with innovative methods to measure growth and reconstruction from imagery will further enhance the value of the survey data and provide opportunities to evaluate the contributions of such methods to the population sciences. With these data, research will investigate the longer-term consequences of the tsunami on psycho-social and physical health, family building, human capital accumulation and economic prosperity. Hypotheses about the impact of unanticipated parent and spousal death, in utero shocks and shocks in early life will be tested. To characterize population dynamics after a high mortality disaster, we will conduct brief interviews with a new cross-section of households in selected communities to capture effects of in-migration, drawing on community- level and administrative data. The first six waves of STAR will be in the public domain in 2013 and data collected in this project will be added to this extremely rich public use database.

描述（由申请人提供）：近年来，自然灾害席卷全球，造成数万人死亡，造成巨大的社会和健康成本。然而，几乎没有证据表明这些灾难对幸存者造成的长期影响。在很大程度上，这反映出缺乏有关受影响人群的科学数据。该项目将收集并分析海啸后果和恢复研究 (STAR) 的另外两波数据，这是一项大规模纵向家庭和社区调查，跟踪 2004 年印度洋海啸发生时居住在印度尼西亚苏门答腊沿海地区的受访者，这场大规模自然灾害导致超过 16 万印度尼西亚人死亡。根据海啸前 27,000 人的人口代表性基线，我们连续 5 年每年跟踪并重新采访海啸幸存者；海啸发生后，其中 95% 的人至少接受过一次采访。海啸发生后 8 年和 10 年收集的另外两轮家庭和社区调查将提供独特的丰富资源，不仅可以衡量海啸对儿童和壮年成年人福祉的长期影响，而且还可以调查对这种大规模、意外和异质冲击的广泛行为反应的中介作用。将调查数据与土地覆盖和夜间灯光的卫星图像相结合，并结合测量图像增长和重建的创新方法，将进一步提高调查数据的价值，并为评估此类方法对人口科学的贡献提供机会。利用这些数据，研究将调查海啸对社会心理和身体健康、家庭建设、人力资本积累和经济繁荣的长期影响。关于父母和配偶意外死亡、子宫内冲击和早年冲击的影响的假设将得到检验。为了描述高死亡率灾难后的人口动态，我们将利用社区层面和行政数据，对选定社区中的新的家庭进行简短访谈，以捕捉移民的影响。前六波 STAR 将于 2013 年进入公共领域，该项目收集的数据将添加到这个极其丰富的公共使用数据库中。