Constructing, Validating, and Testing the Predictive Power of Life-Course Health Histories

构建、验证和测试生命历程健康史的预测能力

基本信息

批准号：
10260541
负责人：
Dean R Lillard
金额：
$ 18.63万
依托单位：
OHIO STATE UNIVERSITY
依托单位国家：
美国
项目类别：
财政年份：
2020
资助国家：
美国
起止时间：
2020-09-11 至 2024-05-31
项目状态：
已结题

来源：
https://reporter.nih.gov/project-details/10260541
关键词：
Acute Address Aging Algorithms Arthritis Asthma Attention Birth Calendar Cells Characteristics Childhood China Chronic Chronic Obstructive Airway Disease Communities Cross-Sectional Studies Data Data Reporting Diabetes Mellitus Diagnosis Disadvantaged Disease Economic Policy Economics Epidemiology Etiology Europe Event Evolution Exercise Eye Goals Government Health Health Policy Health Surveys Health and Retirement Study Heart Diseases Household Hypertension Incidence Individual International Investments Jail Life Life Cycle Stages Light Longitudinal Studies Longitudinal Surveys Malignant Neoplasms Measurement Measures Medicine Memory Loss Mental Depression Minority Modeling National Health Interview Survey National Longitudinal Survey of Adolescent to Adult Health Nursing Homes Pattern Policy Maker Population Prevalence Recording of previous events Recovery Reporting Research Research Personnel Respondent Retirement Running Sample Size Sampling Scientist Shock Social Policies Source Stroke Surveys Time Work cohort contextual factors econometrics health data interest life history mortality nutrition panel study of income dynamics predictive test social stem

项目摘要

Project Summary In the project, "Constructing, Validating, and Testing the Predictive Power of Life-Course Health Histories," we will create a comprehensive guide to help researchers discern whether and when they can use retrospective health data from nationally representative surveys to create lifetime health histories. Our project leverages enormous investments the scientific community has made to measure population and individual health on cross-sectional and longitudinal surveys. We will use data from four major surveys to create life histories for each survey respondent for 11 acute or chronic health conditions. We will then validate the constructed health histories, comparing the prevalence of the condition for a given birth cohort in a past year against contemporaneously measured prevalence rates for the same condition, demographic group and in the same calendar year. We will develop our guide and data with attention to three major factors that cause researchers to hesitate about using retrospective questions to generate life health-histories – recall bias, similarities and differences in sampling rules and sample characteristics, and selective mortality. Our overall aims are to conduct a “proof-of-concept” exercise to explore whether and for what conditions one can use retrospective questions to generate life health histories and to provide a guide for researchers to use. Our work products will expand the set of questions researchers can address with retrospective health data already collected on existing surveys. Our results will enable researchers to describe and study the etiology of a wide range of health conditions that are currently difficult to study because of sample size limitations.

项目摘要在项目中，“构建，验证和测试生命过程的预测能力历史，“我们将创建一个综合指南，以帮助研究人员辨别是否以及何时他们可以使用来自全国代表性调查的回顾性健康数据来创建终生健康历史。我们的项目利用科学界拥有的巨大投资在横断面和纵向调查中衡量人口和个人健康。我们将使用四个主要调查的数据来创建每个调查的生活历史 11急性或慢性健康状况。然后，我们将验证构建的健康历史，比较过去一年中给定出生队列的病情的患病率与同时测量了相同情况，人口组和在同一日历年。我们将关注三个主要的指南和数据导致研究人员犹豫使用回顾性问题来产生生命的因素健康历史 - 召回偏见，采样规则和样本的相似性和差异特征和选择性死亡率。我们的总体目的是进行“概念验证” 锻炼以探索是否以及在什么条件下都可以使用回顾性问题生成生活健康历史，并为研究人员提供指南。我们的工作产品将扩大研究人员可以通过回顾性健康数据解决的问题集在现有的调查中收集。我们的结果将使研究人员能够描述和研究广泛的健康状况的病因，目前很难研究样本量限制。