The Causes and Behavioral Foundations of Mortality Decline in Developing Countrie

描述（由申请人提供）：基于我在经济学和国际发展方面的背景，拟议的职业发展奖将使我能够开始独立的研究生涯，旨在更好地了解发展中国家死亡率下降的原因，以及{{{如何通过对它们的行为反应放大或减弱死亡率下降。关于前者，发展中国家现有数据的迅速增长，加上应用计量经济学的进步，有望为以前无法进行定量分析的健康改善和死亡率变化提供新的见解。这种组合的潜力还有待实现。{{{关于后者，了解私人保健行为如何对死亡率和流行病学情况作出反应，对于预测在实验室环境中已知有效的保健干预措施如何在实地发挥作用至关重要。洞察这些行为动力学对于理解为什么在某些情况下死亡率没有下降也很重要。虽然我的博士培训已经开始使我具备进行这项研究的技能，但我缺乏人口学和人口研究的定量工具和跨学科传统方面的正式培训。这是有问题的，因为这些工具和传统代表了死亡率研究的前沿，因为我缺乏的背景使我无法加入学者群体，而他们是我最自然的同事。拟议的培训和研究项目对于让我加入这个社区并追求新的和创新的死亡率研究路线至关重要。提出了四个具体的培训目标：1)2.学习人口学和人口研究的主要工具和范式。与我的导师和咨询委员会一起探索这些工具和范式如何丰富我的死亡率研究议程。3 .成为关注死亡率变化的人口统计学和人口研究学者群体的一员；准备让我在斯坦福开设和教授一门关于健康、人口和发展的新课程。实现这些目标的活动包括旁听课程的有关部分，进行广泛的指导阅读，参加著名的人口和人口研讨会，定期与主要的人口科学家（包括我的导师和咨询委员会）交谈，根据从其他职业发展活动中获得的知识和技能制定研究计划，向我以前从未接触过的人口学和人口受众展示我的工作。研究计划，反过来，有三个目标：编制新的数据集，能够解决发展中国家死亡率变化方面尚未解决的问题；2.） 进行一系列严格的微观死亡率研究，开始更好地确定贫穷国家死亡率下降的最重要原因；{{{3。)分析对流行病学条件和死亡环境变化的行为反应，以更好地了解死亡率变化的行为后果如何反过来影响死亡过程。

DESCRIPTION (provided by applicant): Building on my background in economics and international development, the proposed career development award will enable me to embark on an independent research career that seeks to better understand both the causes of mortality decline in developing countries and {{{how declines are amplified or attenuated by behavioral responses to them.}}} On the former, rapid growth in available data from developing countries together with advances in applied econometrics hold promise for providing new insight into health improvement and mortality change where quantitative analyses have not previously been possible. The potential of this combination has yet to be realized. {{{On the latter, understanding how Drivate health behaviors respond to mortality and epidemiological conditions is essential for anticipating how health interventions with known efficacy in laboratory settings will actually work in the field. Insight into these behavioral dynamics is also important for understanding why mortality decline is not occurring in some settings.}}} Although my doctoral training has begun equipping me with the skills to conduct this research, I lack formal training in the quantitative tools and interdisciplinary traditions of demography and population studies. This is problematic because these tools and traditions represent the frontier in mortality research and because my deficient background prevents me from joining the community of scholars who are my most natural colleagues. The proposed program of training and research is critical for allowing me to join this community and to pursue a new and innovative line of mortality research. Four specific training objectives are proposed: 1.) Learning the principal tools and paradigms of demography and population studies, 2.) Exploring with my mentors and advisory committee how these tools and paradigms enrich my agenda of mortality research, 3.) Becoming a member of the community of scholars in demography and population studies that focus on mortality change, and 4.) Preparing me to develop and teach a new course on health, population, and development at Stanford. Activities to accomplish these objectives include auditing relevant sections of courses, engaging in extensive directed reading, attending prominent demography and population seminars, talking regularly with leading population scientists (including my mentors and advisory committee), pursuing a research plan that builds upon the knowledge and skills gained through other career development activities, and presenting my work to demography and population audiences with whom I have not previously interacted. The research plan, in turn, has three objectives: 1.) Producing novel data sets capable of addressing unresolved questions about mortality change in developing countries; 2.) Conducting a series of rigorous micro-level mortality studies that begin to better identify the most important causes of mortality decline in poor countries; and {{{3.) Analyzing behavioral responses to changes in epidemiological conditions and the mortality environment to better understand how the behavioral consequences of mortality change in turn influences mortality processes.}}}