Developing a Socio-Economic Model of the Australian Pharmaceutical Market: an Advanced Decision Support Tool

发展澳大利亚医药市场的社会经济模型：一个先进的决策支持工具。虽然目前因药品支出迅速增加而引起的紧张局势可能在未来变得更加突出，但帮助决策者以最具社会和经济效率的方式应对这些问题的决策支持工具却很少。我们的建议旨在填补这一空白，通过逐步将有关补贴处方药的原型模型扩展到整个澳大利亚药品市场的复杂经济模型。新模型将能够预测影响所有药品的政策和其他变化的影响，以及它们对患者的分配影响。政府和患者的支出以及行业的销售将分别确定；监测引进新药的效果；以及使用药物对澳大利亚人健康的影响所带来的好处。

Developing a Socio-Economic Model of the Australian Pharmaceutical Market: an Advanced Decision Support Tool. While current tensions arising from rapid increases in expenditures on pharmaceuticals are likely to become more prominent in future, decision support tools to help policy makers respond to these issues in the most socially and economically efficient way are scarce. Our proposal aims to fill this gap, by gradually extending a prototype model concerning subsidised prescribed pharmaceuticals into a complex economic model of the total Australian pharmaceutical market. The new model will be able to project the impact of policy and other changes affecting all pharmaceuticals, as well as their distributional impact on patients. Expenditures by government and patients, as well as sales by industry, will be separately identified; the effects of the introduction of new drugs monitored; and the benefits of using pharmaceuticals estimated in terms of their impact on the health of Australians.