Improving transit representation in travel forecasting models

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A major initiative throughout Canada and North America is to provide travelers with better public transportation within the limits of government budgets. As such, there is a need to evaluate the impacts of both new investments in transit infrastructure and changes in transit operations on passenger attraction (ridership) and operating efficiency. One method for estimating these impacts is via travel forecasting models. These widely-used models predict future travel patterns and system performance assuming all travelers choose the lowest cost means (for example by bus, streetcar, or private car) to arrive at their destination.