FORWARD III: Modelling to contribute to cumulative effects management in the Canadian Boreal Forest

前瞻 III：建模有助于加拿大北方森林的累积效应管理

• 批准号: 417741-2011
• 负责人: Prepas, Ellie
• 金额: $ 31.7万
• 依托单位: Lakehead University
• 依托单位国家: 加拿大
• 项目类别: Collaborative Research and Development Grants
• 财政年份: 2013
• 资助国家: 加拿大
• 起止时间: 2013-01-01 至 2014-12-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nserc-crsng.gc.ca/ase-oro/Details-Detailles_eng.asp?id=530943
• 关键词: FORWARD; III; Modelling; contribute; cumulative

We propose to directly link watershed-based research to the petroleum and forestry industries operating in the Canadian Boreal Forest. We will quantify and model the impacts of landscape-scale disturbances and recovery trajectories through reclamation of soils, vegetation, streams and bioindicators. We will test the hypothesis that recovery trajectories for these watershed variables at oil sands sites parallel those seen for burned and experimentally harvested watersheds monitored during the Synergy Award winning FORWARD program, which developed a long-term database for 29 reference and disturbed Boreal Plain and Boreal Shield watersheds. The design, including 15 of these long term watersheds, consists of reference and disturbance sites and oil sands reclamation treatments. Hydrologic and water quality modeling will complete and extend the models developed in FORWARD to include prediction of organic chemical loading into the Lower Athabasca River system from reclaimed and harvested watersheds, as well as from pulp mills. Definition of this primary loading source will provide an opportunity to model the transport, fate and thus cumulative downstream impact of organic contaminants, and to determined their toxicity to aquatic invertebrates, fish and amphibians. The hydrologic and water quality modeling tools will be essential to sustainable management of human disturbance and reclamation outcomes in Alberta and throughout Canada, where various intensities of resource extraction alter contaminant loading and exposure for fish, wildlife and downstream water users. Collaborative impact and reclamation research and cooperation between industrial participants in the natural resource sector will enhance cumulative effects assessment and facilitate successful recovery of watershed functions and biotic resources. This research targets a number of outcomes impacting industrial application, planning and regulation and will provide the high quality personnel required to meet the challenges of these industries.

我们建议将基于流域的研究与加拿大北方森林的石油和林业直接联系起来。 我们将通过土壤，植被，溪流和生物指标的复垦来量化和模拟大规模干扰和恢复轨迹的影响。 我们将测试的假设，这些流域变量在油砂网站的恢复轨迹平行的燃烧和实验收获流域监测期间的协同奖获奖的FORWARD计划，开发了一个长期的数据库，29参考和扰动北方平原和北方盾流域。 该设计包括15个长期流域，包括参考和干扰场地以及油砂回收处理。 水文和水质建模将完成并扩展FORWARD中开发的模型，以包括预测从再生和收获流域以及纸浆米尔斯厂进入下阿萨巴斯卡河系统的有机化学品负荷。 定义这一主要负荷源将提供一个机会来模拟有机污染物的迁移、归宿和累积下游影响，并确定其对水生无脊椎动物、鱼类和两栖动物的毒性。 水文和水质建模工具将是必不可少的可持续管理的人类干扰和复垦成果在阿尔伯塔和整个加拿大，在不同强度的资源开采改变污染物负荷和暴露的鱼类，野生动物和下游水用户。 自然资源部门工业参与者之间的协作影响和复垦研究与合作将加强累积效应评估，促进流域功能和生物资源的成功恢复。 这项研究的目标是影响工业应用，规划和监管的一些结果，并将提供满足这些行业的挑战所需的高素质人才。