FORWARD III: Modelling to contribute to cumulative effects management in the Canadian Boreal Forest

前瞻 III：建模有助于加拿大北方森林的累积效应管理

• 批准号: 417741-2011
• 负责人: Prepas, Ellie
• 金额: $ 31.7万
• 依托单位: Lakehead University
• 依托单位国家: 加拿大
• 项目类别: Collaborative Research and Development Grants
• 财政年份: 2013
• 资助国家: 加拿大
• 起止时间: 2013-01-01 至 2014-12-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nserc-crsng.gc.ca/ase-oro/Details-Detailles_eng.asp?id=530943
• 关键词: FORWARD; III; Modelling; contribute; cumulative

We propose to directly link watershed-based research to the petroleum and forestry industries operating in the Canadian Boreal Forest. We will quantify and model the impacts of landscape-scale disturbances and recovery trajectories through reclamation of soils, vegetation, streams and bioindicators. We will test the hypothesis that recovery trajectories for these watershed variables at oil sands sites parallel those seen for burned and experimentally harvested watersheds monitored during the Synergy Award winning FORWARD program, which developed a long-term database for 29 reference and disturbed Boreal Plain and Boreal Shield watersheds. The design, including 15 of these long term watersheds, consists of reference and disturbance sites and oil sands reclamation treatments. Hydrologic and water quality modeling will complete and extend the models developed in FORWARD to include prediction of organic chemical loading into the Lower Athabasca River system from reclaimed and harvested watersheds, as well as from pulp mills. Definition of this primary loading source will provide an opportunity to model the transport, fate and thus cumulative downstream impact of organic contaminants, and to determined their toxicity to aquatic invertebrates, fish and amphibians. The hydrologic and water quality modeling tools will be essential to sustainable management of human disturbance and reclamation outcomes in Alberta and throughout Canada, where various intensities of resource extraction alter contaminant loading and exposure for fish, wildlife and downstream water users. Collaborative impact and reclamation research and cooperation between industrial participants in the natural resource sector will enhance cumulative effects assessment and facilitate successful recovery of watershed functions and biotic resources. This research targets a number of outcomes impacting industrial application, planning and regulation and will provide the high quality personnel required to meet the challenges of these industries.

我们建议将基于流域的研究直接连接到加拿大北方森林运营的石油和林业行业。 我们将通过对土壤，植被，溪流和生物指导者的开垦来量化和建模景观规模的干扰和恢复轨迹的影响。 我们将测试以下假设：在协同奖获奖的前进计划中，在油砂站点的这些分水岭变量的恢复轨迹平行于被烧毁和实验收获的分水岭，该计划开发了一个长期数据库，该数据库开发了29个参考和扰乱镇定和鲍里亚尔平原和Boreal Shield Watersheds的长期数据库。 该设计，包括其中15个长期流域，包括参考和干扰地点以及油砂填海处理。 水文和水质建模将完成和扩展向前发展的模型，包括从回收和收获的分水岭以及纸浆磨坊中预测有机化学载荷到下阿萨巴斯卡河系统中的预测。 该主要负载来源的定义将为有机污染物的运输，命运以及累积的下游影响提供机会，并确定它们对水生无脊椎动物，鱼类和两栖动物的毒性。 水文和水质建模工具对于对艾伯塔省和整个加拿大的人类干扰和填海成果的可持续管理至关重要，那里的各种资源提取的各种强度改变了污染物的污染物，野生动植物和下游用水用户的污染物负荷和暴露。 自然资源部门工业参与者之间的合作影响与开垦研究与合作将增强累积效应评估，并促进成功恢复流域功能和生物资源。 这项研究针对影响工业应用，计划和法规的许多结果，并将提供应对这些行业挑战所需的高质量人员。