Some Statistical Issues in Analyzing Environmental and Other Extremes

分析环境和其他极端情况时的一些统计问题

• 批准号: 174625-2012
• 负责人: Chen, Gemai
• 金额: $ 1.53万
• 依托单位: University of Calgary
• 依托单位国家: 加拿大
• 项目类别: Discovery Grants Program - Individual
• 财政年份: 2015
• 资助国家: 加拿大
• 起止时间: 2015-01-01 至 2016-12-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nserc-crsng.gc.ca/ase-oro/Details-Detailles_eng.asp?id=569628
• 关键词: Some; Statistical; Issues; Analyzing; Environmental

Environmental conditions and environmental changes have become national and international concerns all over the world. Environmental extremes such as extreme wind speeds, rainfalls, levels of reservoirs, rivers and lakes, etc, are often related to disasters or damages to human being and our modern society. In this proposal, we evaluate and develop statistical methods for quantifying the behaviors of environmental extremes and for predicting future rare events. The current methodologies are re-evaluated and extended. Some new methodologies are proposed and investigated, with the goal to allow for more reliable and efficient assessment of environmental and other extremes.

环境状况和环境变化已成为世界各国和国际社会关注的问题。极端环境事件，如极端风速、暴雨、水库水位、江河湖泊水位等，往往与人类和现代社会的灾害或损害有关。 在这项提案中，我们评估和开发统计方法，用于量化环境极端事件的行为和预测未来的罕见事件。对现行方法进行了重新评估和扩展。提出并研究了一些新的方法，其目标是允许更可靠和有效的 评估环境和其他极端情况。