Nobody knows anything? Applying pari-mutuel prediction markets to the motion picture industry

没有人知道什么吗？

• 批准号: LP110200336
• 负责人: A/Prof Jordi McKenzie
• 金额: $ 2.07万
• 依托单位: The University of Sydney
• 依托单位国家: 澳大利亚
• 项目类别: Linkage Projects
• 财政年份: 2012
• 资助国家: 澳大利亚
• 起止时间: 2012-06-28 至 2013-06-28
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://dataportal.arc.gov.au/RGS/Web/Grants/LP110200336
• 关键词: Nobody; knows; anything; Applying; pari

This project will explore the predictability of unreleased motion pictures' theatrical box office revenues using incentive rich pari-mutuel prediction markets. The mechanism will promote price discovery and associated probability estimates that will benefit those already investing in the industry as well as encouraging new investment.

这个项目将探索未上映的电影的影院票房收入的可预测性，使用激励性丰富的平行预测市场。该机制将促进价格发现和相关的概率估计，使那些已经在该行业投资的人受益，并鼓励新的投资。