Dynamic social systems and adolescent alcohol/tobacco use: A new cusp catastrophe model

这项研究将大大提高我们对青少年高危行为发展的认识。 它将通过展示物质使用、同伴因素和父母关系如何随着时间的推移而展开，直接为多式联运预防战略提供信息。 这是非常必要的，因为大多数预防战略过于简单，无法解决酒精/烟草使用的复杂前兆。 这项研究将使澳大利亚内外的健康研究人员受益，他们试图了解不符合传统假设的行为。 与来自领先的国家和国际中心的研究人员的合作将提高澳大利亚的研究声誉，并将吸引研究生和研究人员到澳大利亚。

This research will substantially improve our understanding of the development of adolescent high-risk behaviours. It will directly inform multimodal prevention strategies by demonstrating how substance use, peer factors, and parent relationships unfold over time. This is much needed because most prevention strategies are too simplistic to address complex precursors to alcohol/tobacco use. The research will benefit health researchers in and beyond Australia who seek to understand behaviours that do not adhere to conventional assumptions. Collaboration with researchers from leading national and international centres will enhance Australia's research reputation and will attract postgraduates and researchers to Australia.