当前推动农业科技创新的难点在如何破解研发、推广和应用脱节的问题，而构建适应时代新特点的农业科技创新组织体系成为其内在要求，更是促进农业发展方式转变的重点。因此如何优化农业科技共同体利益协同下的创新机制，最大限度增进其研发福利值得关注。本项目以新型农业科技协同创新组织——现代农业产业技术体系为例，综合运用多学科理论与方法，探讨其研发福利水平及增进问题。本课题将：（1）利用主成分和时间序列回归分析，宏观上把握我国农业科技创新体系发展的基本面及演变规律；（2）借助结构方程模型和仿真技术，分析现代农业产业技术体系研发能力时空特征、福利产生机理及关键因素；（3）运用可计算局部均衡模型，测度现代农业产业技术体系研发福利并进行分解；（4）采用博弈分析方法，明晰现代农业产业技术体系多元利益主体行为微观机理，进而明确体系协同创新模式优化路径；（5）提出多元利益协同目标下现代农业产业技术体系研发福利增进策略。

Current difficulty lies in how to promote agricultural science and technology innovation of R&D, promotion and practical application of disjointed problem, and build the system of agricultural scientific and technological innovation organization which adapting to new requirements as its internal requirement, but also the key content of promoting agricultural development mode change. So how to build a long-term R&D mechanism under the innovation system with the cooperation interests,maximize welfare level of agricultural science and technology R&D community is remarkable. This subject in the form of new agricultural science and technology innovation organization--CARS as an example, using the complex systems,organizational behavior, collaborative innovation theory and method, system analytic R&D welfare under its collaborative innovation, then R&D welfare increase path is discussed.This topic will be:(1)Use principal component and time series regression analysis method to grasp the fundamentals and evolution laws of agricultural science and technology innovation system development;(2)With the structural equation model and simulation analysis technology,to understand the modern agriculture industry technology system R&D ability structure and the characteristics of time and space, welfare mechanism, and key factors;(3)Use the local equilibrium calculable model measure CARS’ research and development welfare ,and decomposition;(4)Use game analysis clear modern agricultural industry technology system of multiple stakeholders behavior microscopic mechanism, further defined the optimum path of collaborative innovation model system;(5)put forward collaborative innovation promotion strategy and optimization mechanism based on multivariate interests coordination target of modern agricultural industry technology system.