全球产业链视角下中国能源与资源耦合的价值核算、动态演化及其政策研究

由于能源消费的负外部性和资源的可耗竭性,在国际贸易分工深化、产业体系空间整合、全球经济深度融合的背景下，能源资源要素的全球配置价值核算及其动态研究已经成为理解国际经济结构与产业动态、分析经济环境与全球气候、制订全球经济和环境政策的基础性工作。本研究通过综合运用传统能源与资源经济学、生态经济学和产业经济学的跨学科分析方法，将探索考虑能源与资源生态要素耦合的价值核算方法，阐释能源与资源要素耦合影响全球产业链分工中的内在机理，构建能源与资源要素在全球产业链转移的动态演化模型，全面核算中国能源与资源要素的全球经济贡献，特别是二者耦合的价值功能与实现手段，进一步通过政策和数值模拟技术，提炼理论研究成果的政策内涵。研究成果将完善现有要素配置在全球经济中的均衡理论和生态经济理论，同时为理解中国经济要素结构演化、解析并进一步构建产业竞争优势提供理论支撑和政策建议。

In the context of international trade division deepening, industrial adjustment across regions, and economic integrating in the world, quantitatively evaluating the energy and resource elements and their characteristics in the global economy becomes fundamental for understanding the dynamic trends of global economic and industrial structure, analyzing the relationship between economy and climate change, and formulating economic and environmental policies. For the externality of energy consumption and exhaustibility of resource usage, the energy-resource nexus in global supply chain would be evaluated and its influences on economies would be explored along with the dynamic modeling of energy and resource tele-transfer and usage across regions in this study.By virtue of the Interdisciplinary techniques in the fields of energy and resource economics, industrial economics and ecological economics, the coupling relationship between energy and resource elements in the global supply chain, especially for Chinese contribution related with these elements, would be highlighted. Meanwhile, regulation rules associated with energy and resource use in China would be assessed after reviewing the function and process of the elements’ synergy using numerical simulation and scenario designing. This project will provide both theoretical contributions and policy implications for understanding upgrading the industrial structure and facilitating the competitive advantage improvement in Chinese industries.