西部开发是我国既定方针,在能源紧缺的今天，开发西南水电资源具有重要意义，但近年来在西南流域水电开发过程中仍存在各种风险。对此，本课题拟基于遥感和GIS研究自然灾害链式作用规律、水电开发社会影响、风险管理组织平台及协同决策支持系统。在理论方面，有助于以西南水电开发为例，了解人类活动所涉及的经济社会过程及其与自然环境之间的相互作用规律，揭示我国水电可持续发展动力，具有创新性；在应用方面，可根据西南流域自然灾害-水电开发-社会间的相互联系，提出基于人类社会与自然环境相协调的水电开发风险管理理论及其与决策技术的耦合，以支持西南流域水电开发利益相关方进行风险评价、监测、预警和协同应急，高效管理当前西南水电开发过程中各种风险，实现西南流域资源的优化配置。

There is an increasing demand for hydropower development in South-West China.However,there is a variety of risks involving the stakeholders of hydropower projects. This study is to reveal interactions between natural hazards, hydropower development and social influences. The impacts of natural hazards will be measured by using RS and GIS technology; a model based on game theories will be established for analyzing the conflicts among the stakeholders in the processes of hydropower development; Accordingly, equity principle will be introduced to current hydropower development processes to help achieve a win-win outcome that helps to remove the root causes of the conflicts. A partnering approach will be used to enable hydropower project stakeholders to jointly manage project risks, coupled with the support of cooperative decision support system. It is expected that the results of this study can efficiently and effectively improve the risk management of the hydropower development in South-West China, based on the linkages between natural environment and human activities.