珠三角乡村承接城市产业转移格局及其生态环境效应研究

产业转移是区域产业结构调整和产业升级的重要途径，前瞻性地研究中小尺度产业转移格局及其生态环境效应对于实现城乡一体化目标的意义重大。项目以珠三角大都市的乡村地域为例，以人地关系城乡地域系统理论为指导，以格局－过程－效应的机理及调控为主线，以揭示乡村承接产业转移格局及其生态环境效应为核心，集3S技术、问卷调查、环境监测和模型模拟方法，构建产业转移程度和格局指数、生态环境质量评价模型以及产业转移－生态环境效应耦合的预测模型。项目突出研究快速城市化过程乡村地域的产业布局演变模式及其生态环境效应的类型与机理，继而对区域生态环境质量进行情景与模型预测，在理论上揭示城乡地域产业转移格局－过程－效应的交互作用关系与机理，在实践上探索乡村环境负效应的有效防控模式及创新途径，为实现城乡一体化的可持续发展提供科学依据。

Industrial transfer is the important way to adjust and optimize regional industry structure. It is the key to achieve the goal of development of urban and rural integration to do some prospective study on pattern of industrial transfer and its effect on eco-environment. This project will take a metropolis, within the Pearl River Delt area, as typical case. Human-land relationship theory of urban and rural area system will be used to reveal the pattern of rural undertaking industrial transfer and its eco-environmental effects. To explore the mechanism of pattern-process-effect, coupling methods, including 3S, questionnaire survey, eco-environmental monitoring and model simulation, are used. Then we will construct eco-environment effect model, which couple industrial transfer and eco-environment effect to do forecast research. The process of rapid urbanization in rural areas and its regional spatial structure will be highlighted, together with evolution mode of industry distribution and eco-environment effect. The relationship and mechanism among industry pattern, process and effect within urban and rural areas will be discussed in theory view, while effective prevention and control mode are also explored to gain better eco-environment condition. One word, it could provide scientific basis for the sustainable development of urban and rural integration.