电力区际流动的空间结构与环境效应转移研究

以区际电力流为研究对象，依据实地调研、行业分析数据和能源平衡表，建立不同时期我国电力省际O-D 流矩阵，对电力区际流动的时空格局进行分析，研究其流场特征与区域模式，并对其效率进行评价；结合区域电力资源禀赋、生产与消费规模与结构、投资、价格以及通道建设等因素，研究电力跨区流动的主要影响因素及其作用机制，探索建立区际电力流动的一般均衡分析模型，获取关键影响因子的影响参数；以SO2、CO2排放与水消耗为主要环境效应指标，核算不同地区不同电力生产方式的单位电力生产的环境效应，并基于省际电力O-D 流表对电力跨区流动导致的环境效应区际转移进行定量评估，从而对电力跨区调配的经济效率与环境公平性进行讨论，探索基于电力区际流动的经济与环境补偿方案。本研究从能源的区际流动来解析区域之间的相互依赖与联系，将能源与区域经济、环境等系统有机结合起来，完善和丰富现有能源与经济地理学的研究。

Taking Chinese inter-regional electricity flow on province level as research object, this project will caculate and construct Chinese inter-provincial electricity origin-destination flow table and analyze its size, scale and spatial distribution with spatial and network analysis methods firstly. Then, the characteristics of flow-field and regional model will be formulated and the spatial organization efficiency will be assessed. Secondly, main elements which affect forming and evoluting of inter-provincial electricity flow and their action mechanism will be explored, such as regional electricity resource, product structure, production and consumption size, investment, policy, price and transmission line. Also, the important parameters of these elements will be caught by regional Computable General Equilibrium model. Thirdly, the environmental effect of electricity producing will be evaluated quantificationally based on the production life cycle analysis of raw material depletation and waste emission in the producing chain of electricity with SO2, CO2 emissions and water consumption as the main environmental effect index. The environmental impact of each degree of electricity of differente electric generation mode of different regions will be accounted quantitatively. Then, the scale and spatial model of intergional environmental effect tranfering will be probed into based on inter-provincial electricity O-D table. At last, the economic efficiency and environmental fairness will be discusses and the economic and environmental compensatation mechanism will be explored. This study will expand existing energy research from point to spatial raltion, connect energy research with regional economic and environmental system, and enrich the energy and regional economic geography.