扶贫、稳定、城乡融合视域下南疆四地州新型城镇化制度变迁路径研究 ——“土地-户籍-财税”联动视角

当前新疆全年处于一级响应状态，暴恐事件多发生在南疆四地州，严重影响扶贫和发展；又存在增长战略、扶贫战略、稳定战略互相冲突现象；乡村振兴伴随城乡二元分割制度加固，制度供需失衡。.本研究基于制度变迁理论、益贫式增长理论、公平理论、行为经济学理论，运用二阶益贫式增长判定方法、FS模型等方法，旨在构建具有内生扶贫、社会风险消解、城乡融合能力的城镇化模式。包括：①基于扶贫、社会风险消解、城乡融合目标的城镇化理论框架构建；②政府诱导式制度变迁机制的构建；③制度变迁环境、成本、利润、意愿分析；④依托“土地-户籍-财税”联动改革，构建“多方分担，政府托底”的城镇化成本分担机制；围绕土地退出制度进行制度创新；⑤依据益贫式增长理论、公平理论进行基于“理性公平逻辑”的修正；依据行为经济学理论进行基于“非理性人逻辑”公平感的修正。.为南疆民族地区“发展与稳定良性互动”的城镇化模式提供跨学科理论分析框架和政策支持。

Xinjiang is now under the first order response enforcement all year around. Most violence and terrorist incidents happened in four regions of southern Xinjiang. Violence and terrorism have caused serious negative impacts on the poverty alleviation and socio-economic growth of those regions. The poverty alleviation and socio-economic growth of those regions are also influenced by the mutual conflicts and alternative amid government’s development strategy,poverty alleviation strategy and stability strategy. The rural rejuvenation is along with the worsening urban-rural dual-division and institutional demand and supply imbalance..This study is based on fundamental theories of institutional change theory，pro-poor growth theory，equity theory and behavioral economics theory, and adopts analytical methods of judging second-order pro-poor growth，FS model. We try to construct an urbanization model features in endogenous poverty alleviation, social risk resolution and urban-rural integration.Four main parts are covered in this research: (1) Construction of urbanization theoretical framework in view of poverty alleviation and social risk resolution goals; (2)Construction of a government-induced institutional change mechanism; (3) Analysis of environment, cost and intention for a fundamental institutional change;(4)Based on the coordinated reforms of “Hukou-Land-Fiscal” system, construct a "multi-sharing,government trust" cost sharing mechanism for urbanization; institutional innovation based on the current land-exit system. （5）“Rational fair logic” amendment based on pro-poor growth theory and equity theory. “Irrational logic” amendment based on behavioral economics theory..This study will provide a solid interdisciplinary theoretical analysis framework and in-depth policy support for constructing an urbanization pattern with “benign interaction between economic development and social stability” in the minority areas of southern Xinjiang.