我国可再生能源配额跨省份协同管理机制研究

Promoting the development of renewable energy is a strategic initiative for countries in the world to ensure energy security, strengthen environmental protection, and fight against climate change. There exist great differences in energy resource endowment and economic development between different provinces in China, so it is of great significance to Cracking development bottleneck of renewable energy, driving revolution of energy, setting up a safe, clean, low-carbon, and high-efficiency modern energy system that a set of interprovincial collaborative management mechanism for Renewable Portfolio Standard suitable for China’s national conditions be established. By summarizing experiences of Renewable Portfolio Standard implementation in advanced countries, based on incentive means of administrative distribution, market trading means of renewable energy certificate, and regulative means of financial futures, the theories of game theory, bilevel programming theory, and nonlinear optimization theory will be comprehensively applied to construct interprovincial cooperative game model, interprovincial transaction management model, and interprovincial regulative model of financial futures for Renewable Portfolio Standard in China. By taking Shanghai, Sichuan, Shanxi, and Gansu as examples, the case studies will be conducted closely after each model to compare with the provincial territorial management model. Based on theoretical analysis and empirical comparison, the optimal collaborative management means, model, and pattern will be chosen, and policy suggestions will be proposed to promote the interprovincial collaborative management of Renewable Portfolio Standard in China. We try to explore a set of interprovincial collaborative management mechanism and policy system for Renewable Portfolio Standard that considers both fairness and efficiency and is suitable for China’s national conditions.

促进可再生能源发展是各国保障能源安全、加强环境保护、应对气候变化的战略举措。中国各省份的能源资源禀赋和经济发展存在巨大差异，建立符合中国国情的可再生能源配额跨省协同管理机制对破解我国可再生能源发展瓶颈、推动能源革命，建立清洁低碳、安全高效的现代能源体系具有重要意义。充分借鉴发达国家实施可再生能源配额制的经验，综合应用博弈论、双层规划理论、非线性优化理论等理论，基于行政分配激励手段、可再生能源证书市场交易手段、金融期货调控手段分别构建我国可再生能源配额跨省份合作博弈模型、跨省份交易管理模型和跨省份金融期货调控模型，并分别以上海、四川、山西和甘肃等省份进行实证分析且与省级属地管理模型进行比较；根据理论分析和实证对比，选择最佳的协同管理手段、模型和模式，并提出推动我国可再生能源配额跨省份协同管理的政策建议，以探索一套兼顾公平与效率、符合中国国情的可再生能源配额跨省份协同管理机制和政策体系。

促进可再生能源发展是各国保障能源安全、加强环境保护、应对气候变化的战略举措。中国各省份的能源资源禀赋和经济发展存在巨大差异，建立符合中国国情的可再生能源配额跨省 协同管理机制对破解我国可再生能源发展瓶颈、推动能源革命，建立清洁低碳、安全高效的现代能源体系具有重要意义。本研究首先深入分析我国可再生能源发展现状以及实施可再生能源配额制所面临的问题，据此构建了可再生能源省级属地管理模型；然后，充分借鉴发达国家实施可再生能源配额制的经验，综合应用博弈论 、双层规划理论、非线性优化理论等理论，基于行政分配激励手段、税费调控手段、金融期货调控手段分别构建了我国可再生能源配额跨省份合作博弈模型、跨省份税费调控模型和跨省份期货调控模型，并分别以北京、山东、山西和内蒙古等省份进行了实证分析。四种模式的对比分析结果表明，四个案例省份在三种协同模型下完成可再生能源配额目标的总成本比属地模型减少57.07亿元，降低了8.25%。通过比较三种协同模型的优势和适用条件，跨省税费调控模式为目前最佳的跨省协同管理模式。最后，提出了推动我国可再生能源配额跨省份协同管理的政策建议。本研究探索出了一套兼顾公平与效率、符合中国国情的可再生能源配额跨省份协同管理机制和政策体系。

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