不等间隔时间序列预报的理论与方法研究
批准号:
59905011
项目类别:
青年科学基金项目
资助金额:
13.0 万元
负责人:
刘红星
依托单位:
学科分类:
E0503.机械动力学
结题年份:
2002
批准年份:
1999
项目状态:
已结题
项目参与者:
姜澄宇、左洪福、史东锋、吴振锋
关键词:
国基评审专家1V1指导 中标率高出同行96.8%
结合最新热点,提供专业选题建议
深度指导申报书撰写,确保创新可行
指导项目中标800+,快速提高中标率
微信扫码咨询
中文摘要
时间序列预报技术在预报中占有重要的位置。本项目根据实际需要在国内外首次提出不等间隔时间序列的预报问题。研究不等间隔序列取样应遵循的规律、不等间隔序列可预报性判断的方法、不等间隔序列的神经网络建模预报方法等。必将丰富时间序列预报的理论和方法,扩大它在工程、经济、社会诸领域应用的深度和广度,创造可观的经济效益和社会效益。
英文摘要
In practice there exist many various nonuniform time series, but it has not been found that the problem predicting nonuniform time series has been discussed inside and abroad. First, the rule which should be followed when sampling nonuniformly is studied, and a new nonuniformly-sampling rule is presented. The ANN based time series auto-regression modeling method is re-studied, traditional ANN model's input pattern being revised greatly. The problem on generalization capability of an ANN predicting model is also studied preliminarily. A genetic algorithm based time series regression modeling idea is introduced, and its applications to modeling system error in batch machining and to modeling wear process in aero-engines are studied, showing satisfactory results. In addition to above, some teniques on noise depressing and feature extration, which are always related to specific predictions, are studied. In sum, the studies of this project get to or exceeed the planned objective completely, presenting new theories and methods of intelligentization, etc., for time series prediction
专著列表
科研奖励列表
会议论文列表
专利列表
基于孕妇腹壁电连续监测胎儿瞬时心率的稳健方法
- 批准号:61271079
- 项目类别:面上项目
- 资助金额:75.0万元
- 批准年份:2012
- 负责人:刘红星
- 依托单位:
以优化神经元激活函数为核心的网络泛化特性改善方法
- 批准号:60275041
- 项目类别:面上项目
- 资助金额:5.0万元
- 批准年份:2002
- 负责人:刘红星
- 依托单位:
国内基金
海外基金















{{item.name}}会员


