Modelling Resource Values and Climate Change Impacts to Set Preservation and Research Priorities
Modelling Resource Values and Climate Change Impacts to Set Preservation and Research Priorities
复制标题
对资源价值和气候变化影响进行建模以设定保护和研究优先事项
DOI：
10.1080/13505033.2018.1545204
复制
发表时间：
2018
影响因子：
0.2
通讯作者：
Friedrich Lüth
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Michael Heilen;J. Altschul;Friedrich Lüth
未来几十年，气候变化的影响将更加频繁和严重，导致数以千计的遗产资源的完整性受损或遭到破坏。需要努力确定、记录和研究将受到影响的资源。为了确定研究和保护的优先事项，需要了解资源对气候变化影响的脆弱性及其对科学研究、保护和其他资源价值的重要性。我们提倡一种建模方法，这种方法可以预测气候变化影响的地点、时间和严重程度；识别风险资源、其资源价值和机会成本；并根据这些评估确定研究和保护选项的优先顺序。通过两个受不同影响、拥有不同类型遗产资源的沿海地区的例子说明了这一方法的必要性：美国的格鲁吉亚大西洋海岸和德国北部波罗的海沿岸的维斯马尔湾。
ABSTRACT Climate change impacts will increase in their frequency and severity in the coming decades, resulting in compromised integrity or destruction of thousands of heritage resources. Efforts are needed to identify, record, and study resources that will be affected. To set research and preservation priorities, the vulnerability of resources to climate change impacts and their importance to scientific research, preservation, and other resource values needs to be understood. We advocate a modelling approach which predicts the location, timing, and severity of climate change impacts; identifies resources at risk, their resource values, and opportunity costs; and prioritises research and preservation options based on these assessments. The need for this approach is illustrated with examples from two coastal areas subject to different impacts and hosting different types of heritage resources: the Atlantic coast of Georgia in the United States and the Wismar Bight along the Baltic Sea in northern Germany.
影响因子：
14.6
作者：
Martijn Gough
通讯作者：
Martijn Gough