Juvenile Crime and Anticipated Punishment
Juvenile Crime and Anticipated Punishment
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青少年犯罪与预期惩罚
DOI：
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发表时间：
2018
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
Ashna Arora
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Ashna Arora
制裁能否遏制青少年犯罪？研究表明，他们可能不会，因为当个人超过犯罪成年年龄并开始面临更严厉的制裁时，犯罪几乎不会减少。然而，一些犯罪行为模型预测，这些接近阈值的小反应可能掩盖了年龄阈值以下个体的更大行为反应。美国2007-2015年的政策变化被用来显示与这些预测相一致的证据-当成年年龄增加时，青少年犯罪增加。这一增长是由较年轻的年龄组推动的，大大高于临界值的不连续性估计数。(JEL D91、J13、K42）
Can sanctions deter juvenile crime? Research indicates that they may not, as offending barely decreases when individuals cross the age of criminal majority and begin to face harsher sanctions. Several models of criminal behavior predict, however, that these small reactions close to the threshold may mask larger behavioral responses among individuals below the age threshold. Policy variation between 2007–2015 in the United States is used to show evidence consistent with these predictions—juvenile crime increases when the age of majority is increased. This increase is driven by younger age groups and is considerably larger than discontinuity estimates at the threshold. (JEL D91, J13, K42)
青少年重罪犯的理性选择和发展影响再犯。
影响因子：
1.7
作者：
Fagan,Jeffrey;Piquero,AlexR
通讯作者：
Piquero,AlexR