The Caregiver Support Ratio in Europe: Estimating the Future of Potentially (Un)Available Caregivers.

The Caregiver Support Ratio in Europe: Estimating the Future of Potentially (Un)Available Caregivers.
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DOI:
10.3390/healthcare10010011
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发表时间:
2021-12-22
期刊:
Healthcare (Basel, Switzerland)
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
Teixeira L
Teixeira L
中科院分区:
其他
文献类型:
--
作者:
Ribeiro O;Araújo L;Figueiredo D;Paúl C;Teixeira L

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照顾者支持比率(CSR)定义为45-64岁(最常见的年龄范围)的潜在照顾者人数与80岁以上(最需要长期服务和支持的老年人亚组)的人数之比。本研究使用来自CENSUS HUB数据库和联合国数据库的数据来计算一组欧洲国家的当前(去年可用:2011年)和预测(2020年,2030年,2040年和2050年)CSR。2011年,地中海国家、法国、比利时和瑞典的企业社会责任比例最低(5:1)。CSR最高的国家是斯洛伐克(9:1)和爱尔兰、波兰、塞浦路斯和马耳他(8:1)。预计所有国家的企业社会责任估计数将从6:1(2011年)逐渐下降到2:1(2050年)。尽管各国的CSR存在差异,但在未来几十年中,45-64岁的人可以照顾每个80岁以上的人的人数将均匀减少。由于老年人口对长期护理的需求不断增加,预计老年社会政策和医疗保健服务将面临跨国挑战。
The caregiver support ratio (CSR) is defined as the number of potential caregivers aged 45–64 years, the most common caregiving age range, for each person aged 80+, the subgroup of older adults most at risk of needing long-term services and support. This study uses data from the CENSUS HUB database and from the UN database to calculate the current (last year available: 2011) and projected (2020, 2030, 2040 and 2050) CSR for a group of European countries. Mediterranean countries, France, Belgium, and Sweden presented the lowest CSR (5:1) in 2011. The countries with the highest CSR were Slovakia (9:1) and Ireland, Poland, Cyprus, and Malta (8:1). The estimated CSR is expected to progressively decline from 6:1 (2011) to 2:1 (2050) for all countries. Although differences in the CSR exist between countries, the number of people aged 45–64 who are available to care for each person aged 80+ will decrease uniformly in the coming decades. Cross-national challenges for gerontological social policies and healthcare provision are expected due to the increasing demand for long-term care among the oldest population.
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