China’s changing internal migration: patterns, causes, policy implications

中国的大规模内部迁移不再是简单的农村-城市和循环，而是高度多元化。该项目旨在解开这种转变：其模式、原因和影响。利用2020年的人口普查数据和主要的纵向数据集，将开发和部署泽林斯基经典流动性转变理论的中国变体，以确定潜在的机制。预期结果包括评估时空移徙模式和原因的有力方法，适用于许多经济体，特别是亚太地区。好处应该包括为中国的移民和相关的城乡政策提供新的证据基础；对澳大利亚来说，通过改善与我们最大贸易伙伴的关系来促进繁荣的政策投入。

China’s massive internal migration is no longer simply rural–urban and circular but highly diversified. The project aims to unravel that transition: its patterns, causes, and effects. Using 2020 census data and major longitudinal datasets, a China variant of Zelinsky’s classic mobility transition theory will be developed and deployed to identify underlying mechanisms. Among expected outcomes are powerful methods for assessing spatio-temporal migration patterns and causes, applicable to many economies especially in the Asia–Pacific. Benefits should include a new evidence base for migration and related urban–rural policy in China; and for Australia, policy inputs to improve prosperity through better relations with our biggest trading partner.