The Effects of Economic Growth and Technological Change on the Demand for Scientists and Engineers

这项建议旨在提供有关1976-1982年期间自然科学家和工程师就业增长来源的更多信息。它将为劳工统计局(BLS)在此期间使用的自然科学和工程职业的详细类别提供约200个标准工业类别的就业增长估计。由于技术原因，不可能追溯到1976年以后或1983年以后。每个行业中每个职业类别的就业变化将归因于行业增长或技术变化。后一类的广义定义包括两个部分：生产方式的改变和因各职业(包括其他专业职业)的工资率变化而引起的劳动投入的变化。这个项目与PRA的计划目标高度相关，该计划的目标是向主任和其他NSF高级官员提供有关科学家和工程师的生产和雇用的有用信息。1973年至1982年期间特别令人感兴趣，因为科学资源研究部门汇编的数据表明，自然科学家和工程师(NS&Amp；E‘s)在NS&Amp；E职业中的就业人数以每年6%的速度增长，而美国的总就业人数的增长速度要低得多，每年为2%。这一建议的主要优点是它有助于了解自然科学家和工程师的供需平衡。

This proposal is designed to provide more information about the sources of employment growth for natural scientists and engineers during 1976-1982. It will provide estimates of employment growth in approximately 200 Standard Industrial Categories for the detailed categories of natural science and engineering occupations used by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) during that period. For technical reasons, it is not possible to go back further than 1976 or forward beyond 1983. Employment changes in each occupational category in each industry will be attributed to industry growth or to technological change. This latter category is broadly defined to include two components: changes in production methods and changes in labor inputs induced by changes in salary rates across occupations, including other professional occupations. This project is highly relevant to PRA's program objective of providing useful information about the production and employment of scientists and engineers to the director and other senior NSF officials. The 1973-1982 period is of particular interest because data compiled by the Division of Science Resources Studies indicate that the employment of natural scientists and engineers (NS&E's) in NS&E occupations rose at the rate of 6% per annum, while total employment in the U.S. rose at the much lower rate of 2% per annum. The chief merit of this proposal is its contribution to knowledge about the supply-demand balance for natural scientists and engineers.***