An International Workshop on the Methodology of Incorporating Adaption into Assessments of the Impact of Global Climate Change: Pittsburgh, PA; Fall 1998

标题：将适应纳入全球气候变化影响评估方法国际研讨会：匹兹堡，宾夕法尼亚州；1998年秋该提案要求美国国家科学基金会支持一个为期三到四天的国际研讨会，旨在提高我们评估全球气候变化影响的能力，当适应是基于有限的信息和受当地政治、文化、社会和经济结构的限制时。拟议的讲习班将侧重于海平面上升和沿海管理，但它将着眼于产生可概括的见解，既可以支持埃及和印度次大陆沿海研究的开始，又可以为其他部门的研究人员提供一些指导，以创建富有成效的分析方法。讲习班应在两个不同的方向上产生重大成果。首先，活跃研究人员的合作将使主要研究人员能够与其他人合作，为文献提供一篇以方法为重点的论文，这不仅将为超越发达市场经济的下一代沿海分析提供信息，而且（更重要的是）在第二工作组对第三次评估报告的贡献中，IPCC对工作适应的更广泛兴趣提供信息。研讨会还将建立对各种模型之间的差异的理解，这些模型是专门为研究海平面上升的影响而开发的。预期在自然和社会两方面都将发现差异；以及一篇探讨它们的资源和后果的论文应该很好地融入IPCC第三次评估报告的进程。此外，比较和开发工作将提供以下方面的见解：(1)将海平面上升更恰当地表示为充分分离的综合评估模型；(2)在不断增加的“脆弱性评估”清单中更广泛地定义影响。

Abstract ATM-9813490 Yohe, Gary W. Wesleyan University Title: An International Workshop on the Methodology of Incorporating Adaption into Assessments of the Impact of Global Climate Change: Pittsburgh, PA; Fall 1998 The proposal requests the National Science Foundation support for a three or four day international workshop designed to further our ability to assess the impact of climate change across the globe when adaption is based on limited information and constrained by local political, cultural, social and economic structures. The proposed workshop will focus on sea level rise and coastal management, but it will be conducted with an eye toward producing generalizable insights that can both support the inception of coastal studies for Egypt and the Indian subcontinent and offers researchers in other sectors some guidance in creating fruitful methods of analysis. The workshop should produce significant results in two distinct directions. First, collaboration of active researchers will allow the principal investigators to work with others to contribute a methodologically focused paper to the literature that will inform not only the next generation of coastal analyses extended beyond developed market economies, but also (and more importantly) the broader IPCC interest in working adaption throughout the contributions of Working Group II to the Third Assessment Report. The workshop will also build understanding of the differences between the various models that have developed specially to examine the impact of sea level rise. It is expected that differences will be found along both natural and social dimensions; and a paper that explores their resources and consequences should feel well into the IPCC TAR process. The comparative and development work will, in addition, provide insight into (1) representing sea level rise more appropriately into sufficiently desegregated integrated assessment models and (2) including impacts more broadly defined in the g rowing list of "vulnerability assessments."