Space Weather: Forecasting Relativistic Electron Fluxes at Synchronous Orbit

这个计划将利用一些新技术来预测地球同步轨道上的相对论电子的通量。这是《空间气象》中的一个重要话题，因为地球同步轨道上的高能电子是能够损坏或使地球静止轨道上的卫星瘫痪的“杀手电子”。该计划将首先创建一个大型数据库，该数据库来自美国能源部、美国宇航局和美国国家海洋和大气局的各种卫星的电子通量。这些数据将与太阳风数据、磁层数据和地面数据结合起来，形成一个相关的数据库，供经验研究之用。然后将开发地图功能，将在任意当地时间进行的观测转换为当地中午。然后，中午时间通量的时间序列可以与各种预测技术一起使用，例如线性预测过滤器和神经网络，以产生对通量的新的预测能力

This program will utilize some new techniques for predicting the fluxes of relativistic electrons at geosynchronous orbit. This is an important topic in Space Weather because energetic electrons at geosynchronous orbit at the "killer electrons" that are capable of damaging or disabling satellites that are place in geostationary orbit. This program will first create a large database on electron fluxes derived from a variety of DoE, NASA, and NOAA satellites. These data will be combined with data on the solar wind, magnetospheric data and ground-based data to produce a correlated database for empirical studies. Mapping functions will then be developed that will transform observations made at an arbitrary local time to local noon. Time series of noon-time fluxes can then be used with a variety of prediction techniques, such as linear predictive filters and neural networks to produce a new predictive capability for the fluxes