Collaborative Research: The North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program (NARCCAP)--Using Multiple GCMs and RCMs to Simulate Future Climates and Their Uncertainty
Collaborative Research: The North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program (NARCCAP)--Using Multiple GCMs and RCMs to Simulate Future Climates and Their Uncertainty
批准号:
0534131
负责人:
Linda Mearns
金额:
$79.9万
依托单位国家:
美国
项目类别:
Continuing Grant
财政年份:
2006
资助国家:
美国
项目状态:
已结题
起止时间:
2006-01-01 至 2011-12-31
中文摘要
北美区域气候变化评估计划(NARCCAP)的目标是:(1)开发并公开提供多个高分辨率区域气候变化情景,用于影响和风险评估;(2)通过在更大空间尺度的再分析数据产品中嵌套区域气候模式(RCM),评价北美区域模式的性能;(3)了解关键的区域气候变化问题,如温室气体增加对各类极端天气事件发生频率的影响;(4)加强对区域气候模拟关键问题的认识,包括方法方法;(5)对区域模式和全球气候模式(GCM)未来区域预估的不确定性进行有限的研究;(6)在美国、加拿大和欧洲的气候模拟小组之间建立更大的合作,以利用各国不同的模拟能力;(7)与目前在美国、加拿大、欧洲和南美洲进行的各种区域和全球建模项目和计划进行协调并从中获得附加值。该研究的更广泛影响包括支持气候影响研究团体为公共政策提供决策相关信息,部分通过面向用户的数据访问、格式化和模拟输出的存档设施实现。NARCCAP将通过产生区域尺度的气候变化预测,为广泛的气候研究作出贡献。在此过程中,该项目将加强气候变化研究的基础设施,将几个北美和欧洲的机构连接在一个多模型模拟、输出分析和数据传播的合作网络中。该计划的成果将促进参与机构的本科生和研究生研究,并促进跨校园和机构之间的跨学科联系。NSF支持的合作项目:mens、Linda O.、国家大气研究中心(领导)Sloan、Lisa C.、加州大学圣克鲁斯古托斯基分校、爱荷华州立大学塞恩分校、Stephan R.、丹佛科罗拉多大学NOAA和美国能源部也支持NARCCAP合作项目:NOAA: Roads、John O.、加州大学圣地亚哥分校斯克里普斯海洋学研究所能源部:Bader, David C, Lawrence Livermore国家实验室Leung, Lai-Yung (Ruby), Battelle西北实验室Duffy, Philip B., Lawrence Livermore国家实验室NOAA地球物理流体动力学实验室,nsf赞助的国家大气研究中心和DOE劳伦斯Livermore国家实验室提供额外的实物支持。
英文摘要
The goals of The North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program (NARCCAP) are to: (1) develop and make openly available, multiple high resolution regional climate change scenarios for use in impacts and risk assessments; (2) evaluate regional model performance over North America by nesting the Regional Climate Models (RCM) in coarser spatial scale reanalyzed data products; (3) understand critical regional climate change issues, such as the effects of increased greenhouse gases on the frequency of various types for extreme weather events; (4) enhance understanding of key issues in regional climate modeling, including methodological approaches; (5) conduct a limited examination of uncertainties in regional model and global climate model (GCM) future regional projections; (6) create greater collaboration between US, Canadian, and European climate modeling groups to leverage the diverse modeling capability across the countries; and (7) coordinate with and derive added value from diverse regional and global modeling projects and programs currently underway in the US, Canada, Europe, and South America.Broader impacts of the research include support for the climate impacts community to provide decision-relevant information for public policy, in part through a user-oriented data access, formatting and archival facility for output from the simulations. NARCCAP will contribute to a wide range of climate research by producing regional-scale projections of climate change. In doing so, the program will enhance the infrastructure for climate-change research by linking several North American and European institutions in a collaborative network for multi-model simulation, output analysis and data dissemination. The program's output will promote undergraduate and graduate research at the participating institutions and foster cross-disciplinary links across campuses and between institutions. Collaborating PIs supported by NSF:Mearns, Linda O., National Center for Atmospheric Research (Lead)Sloan, Lisa C., University of California-Santa Cruz Gutowski, William J. Iowa State University Sain, Stephan R., University of Colorado at DenverNOAA and DOE are also supporting NARCCAP collaborating PIs:NOAA: Roads, John O., University of California-San Diego Scripps Inst of Oceanography DOE: Bader, David C., Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Leung, Lai-Yung (Ruby), Battelle Northwest Laboratories Duffy, Philip B., Lawrence Livermore National LaboratoryThe NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, the NSF-sponsored National Center for Atmospheric Research and the DOE Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory are providing additional in-kind support.
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