SGER: How Soon is Soon Enough? Understanding National Public Perceptions of the Need to Act on Very Long Term Threats as a Result of Hurricane Katrina

像卡特里娜飓风这样的重大影响是公众学习和采取行动应对我们面临的长期威胁的机会之窗，但我们对人们提高的意识如何持续或消退有多了解？这项短期的探索性调查收集了公众对长期沿海灾害的态度和个人调整行动意图的数据。关注的焦点是卡特里娜飓风对公众对未来飓风和相关但长期的全球变暖威胁的看法的影响。这项研究特别关注没有受到卡特里娜飓风影响的六个沿海城市的公众。它探讨了受访者在当前的海湾灾难发生后不久以及紧急/短期恢复期结束几个月后的态度和意图是如何发展的。数据来自于一个由300名成年人组成的探索性受访者组，他们按相同比例随机抽样(每个城市50人)，在两个时间点进行调查。其目的是：1.了解重大危害影响如何影响公众对未来威胁的思考，包括更远的未来不确定的威胁；2.了解个人行动如何随着时间的推移动态地了解或适应这些危害；3.探索方法，以更好地了解公众对危害的看法，而不是一次性的观点快照。这项研究有助于我们理解卡特里娜飓风这种规模的百年灾难如何影响公众对沿海灾害和相关长期全球变化威胁的舆论和调整意图。探讨了在这类研究中公众纵向参与的未得到充分利用的方法。因此，这项研究有助于以知识为基础的公众对长期危害政策的审议，并提出方法，以探索长期辩论但很少被检验的问题，即如何支持公众在国家一级大规模参与长期危害规划。

ABSTRACTMajor impacts like Katrina are windows of opportunity for public learning and action on long-term threats facing us, but how well do we know how people's heightened awareness persists or recedes? This short-term, exploratory investigation captures data on public attitudes toward, and personal adjustment action intentions in response to, long-term coastal hazards. The focus is on the influence of Katrina on public views about future hurricanes and the related but long term threats of global warming. The study focuses specifically on publics in six coastal cities not impacted by Katrina. It explores how attitudes and intentions of the respondents have developed soon after the current Gulf disaster, and months after the emergency/short-term recovery period is over. Data come from a total exploratory respondent group of 300 adults randomly sampled in equal proportions (50 from each city) who are surveyed at two points in time. The objectives are to: 1. understand how major hazard impacts influence public thinking about future threats, including more uncertain ones far in the future; 2. understand how personal actions to learn more about or adjust to such hazards develop dynamically over time and; 3. explore methods to understand public views on hazards more developmentally, beyond one-time snapshots of views. This study contributes to our understanding of how a centennial disaster of Katrina's scale affects public opinion toward and intentions to adjust to coastal hazards and related long-term global change threats. The underutilized methodology of longitudinal engagement of the public in such studies is explored. As such, this study can contribute to knowledge-based public deliberation about long-term hazards policy and also suggest methods to explore long-debated but infrequently tested issues about how to support large-scale public engagement in long-term hazards planning at a national level.