CAREER: Sustainability Implications of Transportation Choice in China

1055282-Cherry该项目的研究和教育活动重点是在中国开发车辆购买和使用选择模型，以评估各种增长情景和车辆技术的可持续影响，并为可持续的政策回应提供信息。本研究将包括两个主要活动：(1)汽车购买和使用行为的特征，以确定一般的个人交通价值和潜在的机动化路径。这项工作将使用声明的和揭示的偏好选择建模方法相结合的方法来量化人们现在选择的特征，以及近期可能采用的潜在技术。这最终将被用于在不同的经济和政策框架下使用不同的燃料和技术建立机动化情景。(2)将扩展车辆增长情景，通过生命周期评估(LCA)方法量化环境影响。每一种情景(技术和经济)将对环境产生不同的影响，从而导致在其他政策目标的范围内最大限度地减少环境影响的政策。该项目将系统地描述中国主要城市的交通选择行为，这是以前从未在如此大的规模内进行过的。这种洞察将量化影响机动化的国内生产总值以外的因素，导致更稳健的汽车购买和模式选择建模。为此，替代燃料的可行性将是可评估的，其可持续性影响将是可量化的。教育活动将针对几个受众，包括K-12学生、本科生和研究生。活动将包括K-12外展计划，新生研讨会，新研究生课程内容，以及在中国大学的国际经验。教育活动将通过让本科生和研究生参与数据收集、模型开发和政策分析而纳入研究部分。这个项目将是跨学科的，所以不同教育背景的学生将有机会向其他人学习并教会他们成功地分析像可持续发展和交通选择这样的跨学科主题。该项目的更广泛影响包括培养一支具有国际意识的运输劳动力，能够在多样化和具有挑战性的环境中运营；招募和纳入工程学中代表性不足的群体；以及提高对中国机动化道路可持续影响的理解，从而制定政策，减少当地空气污染、温室气体排放和能源使用。该奖项由大泽中国共同出资。

1055282-CherryThe research and educational activities for this project focus on developing vehicle purchase and use choice models in China to estimate sustainability impacts of various growth scenarios and vehicle technologies and inform a sustainable policy response. This research will include of two major activities: (1) Vehicle purchase and use behavior will be characterized to identify general personal transportation values and potential motorization pathways. This work will use a combination of stated and revealed preference choice modeling methods to quantify characteristics that people choose now, and potential technologies that could be adopted in the near-term. This would ultimately be used to build motorization scenarios with different fuels and technologies, under various economic and policy frameworks. (2) Vehicle growth scenarios will be extended to quantify environmental impacts through life-cycle assessment (LCA) methods. Each scenario (technological and economic) will have varied impacts from an environmental perspective, leading to policies that could minimize environmental impacts within the bounds of other policy objectives. The project will characterizetransportation choice behavior in a systematic way, across major Chinese cities, which has not been done before at this scale. This insight will quantify factors, beyond national GDP, that influence motorization, leading to more robust vehicle purchase and mode choice modeling. To this end, viability of alternative fuels will be assessable and the sustainability implications quantifiable. The educational activities will target several audiences, including K-12 students, undergraduate and graduate students. Activities will include a K-12 outreach programs, a freshman seminar, content for new graduate courses, and international experiences at Universities in China. The educational activities will be integrated into the research component by engaging undergraduate and graduate students in the data collection, model development, and policy analysis. This project will be interdisciplinary, so students with varied educational backgrounds will have an opportunity to learn from and teach others to successfully analyze a topic as interdisciplinary as sustainability and transportation choice. The broader impacts of this project include the development of an internationally minded transportation workforce, capable of operating in diverse and challenging environments; the recruitment and inclusion of underrepresented groups in engineering; and the improved understanding of sustainability implications of motorization pathways in China, leading to policy that can reduce local air pollution, greenhouse gas emissions, and energy use. This award is co-funded by OISE-China.