Doctoral Dissertation Research: Neighborhood Crime and Property Values

[中文]：社区犯罪与财产价值新建惩教设施往往面临潜在邻近社区的反对。有两个主要的担忧一直被认为是反对的原因：对犯罪率上升的担忧和社区房地产价值下降的担忧。然而，很少有实证研究考察了这一重要而及时的问题。该项目使用了来自美国91个城市的近10,000个人口普查区的数据来调查惩教设施、犯罪率和财产价值之间的关系。该项目以社会无序和日常活动的社会科学理论为基础。它追求三个主要的经验目标。首先，纵向分析将检查一段时间内惩教设施的存在、犯罪水平和财产价值之间的关系，以衡量这些模式的变化程度。第二，对社区进行横断面分析，按社会经济不利程度分类，将评估社区类型对结果的影响程度。最后，分析将评估惩教设施的类型是否会对犯罪和财产价值产生影响。方法方法包括几种类型的多变量建模，以及倾向评分匹配。除了美国人口普查数据（1990年，2000年）外，本研究还依赖于国家社区犯罪研究和geoolytics公司提供的时间序列数据库。更广泛的影响本论文的研究结果旨在告知我们对惩教设施的存在如何影响周围社区的理解。该项目的结果可能会引起城市和社区规划者、执法界和公众的兴趣。除了政策影响之外，本论文项目还将生成一个新的、公开可用的数据集，其中包含许多大城市人口普查区层面的犯罪统计数据、财产价值和惩教设施变量。

SES-1203105Ryan KingSarah McGeeverSUNY, AlbanyAbstractDoctoral Dissertation Research: Neighborhood Crime and Property ValuesThe construction of new correctional facilities often faces opposition by potential neighboring communities. Two primary concerns are consistently cited as reasons for such opposition: fears of rising crime and declining property values in the neighborhood. However, few empirical studies have examined this important and timely issue. This project employs data on almost 10,000 census tracts from 91 U.S. cities to investigate the relationship between correctional facilities, crime rates, and property values.The project is grounded in social scientific theories regarding social disorganization and routine activities. It pursues three main empirical goals. First, longitudinal analyses will examine the relationship between the presence of a correctional facility, crime levels and property values over time to gauge the degree to which these patterns have changed. Second, cross-sectional analyses of neighborhoods, disaggregated by the level of socio-economic disadvantage, will assess the degree to which the type of neighborhood influences results. Finally, analyses will evaluate whether the type of correctional facility shapes the effects on crime and property values. The methodological approach includes several types of multivariate modeling, as well as propensity score matching. In addition to U.S. Census data (1990, 2000), the study relies on the National Neighborhood Crime Study and the Time Series Database available via Geolytics, Inc.Broader ImpactsFindings from this dissertation seek to inform our understanding of how the presence of correctional facilities impacts the surrounding communities. Results from this project may be of interest to urban and community planners, as well as the law enforcement community and the general public. In addition to policy impacts, this dissertation project will produce a novel, publicly available dataset containing crime statistics, property value and correctional facility variables at the census tract level for a number of large cities.