Subjective realities of climate change - Perceived climate-related impacts across social groups in urban areas and the quantitative deduction of socially sensible adaptation strategies

建议的研究解决了当前应用气候科学中一些重要的研究需求：气候相关影响的社会差异，影响的量化，以及针对特定社会群体的选择适应策略的量化和比较。调查人员将对整个纽约市进行深入分析。该研究嵌入了漏洞概念，并基于网络分析方法。影响网络是通过模糊认知映射生成的，将利益相关者对热浪、风暴等气候相关影响的感知纳入其中。网络统计和情景分析可以比较对不同社会经济群体的影响，并量化适应行动和政策的有效性。拟议的研究利用了最近在印度城市进行的研究。该方法已成功地进行了测试，并将根据其他社会经济环境进行改进和调整。拟议的研究将为社会影响研究提供一种新的结构化方法，推进对城市地区气候相关影响的社会差异的理解，建立并补充影响库，并为纽约市的影响和适应方案提供量化结果。

The proposed research addresses a number of currently important research needs in the applied climate sciences: the social differences of climate-related impacts, the quantification of impacts, and the quantification and comparison of selected adaptation strategies that target particular social groups. The investigator will conduct an in-depth analysis across the New York City area. The research is embedded in the vulnerability concept and based on a network analytical approach. Impact networks are generated with Fuzzy Cognitive Mapping, incorporating stakeholders perception to climate-related impacts, such as heat waves, storms, a.o. Network statistics and scenario analysis allow comparing the impacts on different socio-economic groups and quantifying the effectiveness of adaptation actions and policies. The proposed research capitalizes on recent research in Indian cities. The method was successfully tested and will be advanced and adjusted for other socio-economic environments. The proposed research will provide a new structured method for social impact studies, progress the understanding of social differences of climate-related impacts in urban areas, built-up and complement an impact library, and deliver quantified results to impacts and adaptation options for the City of New York.