Doctoral Dissertation Research: Hispanic Population Growth and Black-White Relations in the United States

SES-1333561米格尔·森特诺·玛丽亚·C·阿巴斯卡普林斯顿大学引入第三个主要民族群体将如何影响先前存在的民族群体之间的关系？本文从拉美裔人口增长及其对美国黑人/白人关系的影响这一角度提出了这一问题。在美国历史上的大部分时间里，黑人和白人的差异一直是美国种族关系的特征；拉美裔美国人正在通过高出生率和持续的移民来改变这一点。这个项目考察了西班牙裔人口增长的实际水平和感知水平对黑人和白人相互之间的态度的影响，以及他们对种族目标和种族编码政策的支持，如平权行动和福利。之前的研究暗示了拉美裔人口增长的两种可能结果：1)黑人和非黑人之间的鸿沟加强；2)黑人和白人沿着共同的(美国)身份认同合并，基于文化而不是种族差异将拉美裔排除在外。为了解决这些问题，本研究分析了具有全国代表性的调查数据和原始实验数据。一项对综合社会调查和美国国家选举研究数据的趋势数据的分析记录了黑人和白人的种族和政策态度如何随着时间的推移而变化，以及对当地拉美裔人口增长的回应。将进行公共产品游戏，将调查结果扩展到受控实验室环境中的可观察行为。通过操纵游戏的两个方面(参与者对拉美裔人口增长的看法和游戏群体的种族构成)，游戏考察了黑人和白人对种族混合群体的贡献是否会随着感知到的人口趋势而变化。更广泛的影响随着公众对政府角色的分歧越来越大，美国人的种族和政策态度以及美国福利国家的未来成为学术界和公共政策关注的重要话题。在拉美裔人口大幅增长的背景下尤其如此，这不再局限于少数几个移民门户。最近向新的移民目的地的转变迫使学者们研究在没有固定移民或少数族裔人口的社区中多样化的影响。研究结果对社会政策有重要的影响，包括：1)预测种族/民族敌意的地点，以及2)详细说明多样化对公众对平权行动和福利等政策的支持的影响。这项研究将提供关于实验游戏方法在种族关系研究中的价值的实用信息。因此，游戏中的实验方案和数据(删除了识别信息)将在网上提供，从而公开可用。这项研究的结果将通过跨学科期刊和会议传播，部分原因是与普林斯顿大学移徙与发展中心和社会组织研究中心的持续合作。

SES-1333561 Miguel Centeno Maria C. Abascal Princeton University How will the introduction of a third, major ethnoracial group affect relations between pre-existing ethnoracial groups? This dissertation broaches this question through the lens of Hispanic population growth and its impact on black/white relations in the United States. The black/white divide has characterized US race relations for most of the country's history; Hispanics are changing that through high birth rates and continued immigration. This project examines the impact of real and perceived levels of Hispanic population growth on Blacks' and Whites' attitudes toward each other and their support for race-targeted and race-coded policies, like affirmative action and welfare. Previous research hints at two possible outcomes of Hispanic population growth: 1) the reinforcement of a black-nonblack divide; or 2) the merger of Blacks and Whites along a shared (American) identity that excludes Hispanics on the basis of cultural rather than racial differences. The study analyzes nationally representative survey data along with original experimental data to address these questions. An analysis of trend data from the General Social Survey and the American National Election Studies data documents how Blacks' and Whites' racial and policy attitudes change over time and in response to local levels of Hispanic population growth. Public goods games will be conducted to extend survey findings to observable behaviors in a controlled laboratory setting. By manipulating two aspects of the game (participants' perceptions of Hispanic population growth and the racial composition of the game group, the games examine whether Blacks' and Whites' contributions to a racially-mixed group vary in response to perceived population trends. Broader Impacts As public disagreement over the role of government grows, Americans' racial and policy attitudes and the future of the American welfare state become important topics of both academic and public policy concern. This is especially true in the context of substantial Hispanic population growth, which is no longer limited to a handful of immigration gateways. The recent shift toward new destinations of immigration compels scholars to examine the impact of diversification in communities without established immigrant or minority populations. Research findings have important implications for social policy, including: 1) predicting sites of racial/ethnic hostility, and 2) detailing the impact of diversification on public support for policies like affirmative action and welfare. The study will yield practical information about the value of experimental game methods for the study of race relations. Accordingly, the experimental protocol and data (with identifying information removed) from the games will be made available online, and thus publicly accessible. The findings of this research will be disseminated via interdisciplinary journals and conferences, facilitated in part by ongoing affiliations with the Princeton University Center for Migration and Development and the Center for the Study of Social Organization.